List of forthcoming IPOs.
a. Fineotex Chemical Limited
b. Jaypee Infra tech Limited
c. Jaypee Estates Projects Limited
d. PNC Infra tech Limited
e. Aqua Logistics Limited
f. Everest Infra Energy Limited
g. Intrasoft Technologies Limited
h. Sterlite Energy Limited
i. Vasocn eng.ltd
j. Hathway cables ltd
k. Kumar urban developers ltd
l. Nitesh estates ltd
m. Lodha developers ltd
n. Tarapur Transformers Limited
o. Rural Electrification Corporation Limited
Sunday, December 13, 2009
Wednesday, December 9, 2009
IPO ANALYSIS -DB CORP LIMITED – SKIP, JUMP AND PASS OVER
D B Corp, one of the leading print media house in the country, publishing 48 newspaper editions, in three languages, in eleven states and which also operates 17 FM radio stations, is entering the capital markets. The public issue consist of 1, 81, 75,000 shares of Rs 10/ each, including the offer for sale of 1, 27, 25000 shares in the price band of Rs 185 -212.
The issue will open on 11-12-09 and closes on 15-12-09. Enam Securities private limited, Citi Corp Markets India private limited and Kotak Mahindra Capital Company limited are the Book Running Lead Managers.
The flagship newspapers of DB Corp are, Dainik Bhaskar, Divya Bhaskar and Saurashtra Samachar, have a combined average daily readership of 15.5 million readers, making them one of the most widely read newspaper groups in the country. The other newspapers are Business Bhaskar, DB Gold and DB Star and, on a franchisee basis, DNA (in Gujarat and Rajasthan). In addition to newspapers, they also publish 5 periodicals, namely, Aha Zindagi, a monthly magazine published in Hindi and Gujarati, Bal Bhaskar, a Hindi magazine for children, Young Bhaskar, a children’s magazine in English and Lakshya, a career magazine in Hindi.
OBJECTS OF THE ISSUE
The objects of this Issue are to raise funds for - setting up new publishing units, upgrading existing plant and machinery, enhancing brand image through sales and marketing, reducing existing working capital loans and for prepaying existing term loans.
However, the projects for which the Net Proceeds are intended to be utilized have not been appraised by any bank or financial institution and the costs of the projects are based on the internal estimates of the Company.
FINANCIALS
07 08 09 (Rs in crores)
Total Income 674.37 862.69 960.98
Net Profit 35.90 69.77 54.81
EPS (In rupees) 3.06 6.01 4.06
The weighted average RoNW was in excess of 30% for the last three years.
VALUATION AND MATTERS OF CONCERN
Established brands in Indian print media with wide geographical reach. Average fundamentals. Based on FY 2009 EPS, in the price band of Rs 185 -212 the stock is valued around 50 times its earnings, as against the industry average of 28 times. The valuation is very much stretched. The company has no definitive business plans. The promoter group companies have history of de-listing from the Stock Exchanges. Some of the trademarks, logos and copyrights are not registered. The company is unable to disclose information in relation to certain promoter group companies. Promoters and promoter group have equity interests or investments in other entities that offer services that are related to the business of DB Corp.
BUSINESS CHALLENGES
D B Corp business is dependent on advertising revenue and a reduction in advertising expenditure, loss of advertising customers or inability to attract new customers could have a material adverse affect on the business. The company relies substantially on advertisements revenue. During the financial year ended March 31, 2009, the company derived 75.50% of consolidated income from advertisement income.
According to PWC report, the media growth rate to increase in 2010 to 10.4%, from of about 9% now, as economic conditions are expected to gradually improve. The industry will continue to grow at increasing rate and there will be an overall compounded annual growth rate for the period 2009-13 of 10.5 percent. The report also predicts a healthy growth in all eight segments of entertainment and media industry in next four years (2010 to 2013). These are television, filmed entertainment, print media comprising newspaper and magazine publishing, radio, emerging segments like music, animation, gaming, internet advertising.
The Indian newspaper industry is intensely competitive. In each of the markets, DB Corp faces competition from other newspapers for circulation, readership and advertising. In addition, they may face competition from other forms of media including, television broadcasters, magazines, radio broadcasters and websites. These other forms of media compete with newspapers for advertisement and for the time and attention of readers. The group may also face competition from international media companies as the Government of India has recently liberalized its foreign investment regulations and restrictions applicable to the media sector. Competition for circulation and readership has often resulted in competitors reducing the cover-prices of their newspapers. Furthermore, competition for advertising from newspapers has often resulted in competitors reducing advertising rates or offering price incentives to advertising customers. Such reduction in prices or rates or the introduction of new price incentives could have a material adverse effect on financials.
Circulation and readership of newspapers among readers is an important source of revenue as they significantly influence ad-spend by advertisers and advertising rates. Circulation and readership are dependent on, among other factors, the quality of editorial content and the preferences of readers, the reach of newspapers, and the loyalty of readers to newspapers and ability to successfully establish new locally focused newspapers in new regions. Any failure to meet readers’ preferences, quality content may affect circulation and in turn revenues.
The issue is very unattractively priced. There is nothing left for investors. AVOID SUBSCRIPTION.
DISCLAIMER
The opinions expressed on this site are personal.Apply your own judgment before making investments of any kind. Thank you.
The issue will open on 11-12-09 and closes on 15-12-09. Enam Securities private limited, Citi Corp Markets India private limited and Kotak Mahindra Capital Company limited are the Book Running Lead Managers.
The flagship newspapers of DB Corp are, Dainik Bhaskar, Divya Bhaskar and Saurashtra Samachar, have a combined average daily readership of 15.5 million readers, making them one of the most widely read newspaper groups in the country. The other newspapers are Business Bhaskar, DB Gold and DB Star and, on a franchisee basis, DNA (in Gujarat and Rajasthan). In addition to newspapers, they also publish 5 periodicals, namely, Aha Zindagi, a monthly magazine published in Hindi and Gujarati, Bal Bhaskar, a Hindi magazine for children, Young Bhaskar, a children’s magazine in English and Lakshya, a career magazine in Hindi.
OBJECTS OF THE ISSUE
The objects of this Issue are to raise funds for - setting up new publishing units, upgrading existing plant and machinery, enhancing brand image through sales and marketing, reducing existing working capital loans and for prepaying existing term loans.
However, the projects for which the Net Proceeds are intended to be utilized have not been appraised by any bank or financial institution and the costs of the projects are based on the internal estimates of the Company.
FINANCIALS
07 08 09 (Rs in crores)
Total Income 674.37 862.69 960.98
Net Profit 35.90 69.77 54.81
EPS (In rupees) 3.06 6.01 4.06
The weighted average RoNW was in excess of 30% for the last three years.
VALUATION AND MATTERS OF CONCERN
Established brands in Indian print media with wide geographical reach. Average fundamentals. Based on FY 2009 EPS, in the price band of Rs 185 -212 the stock is valued around 50 times its earnings, as against the industry average of 28 times. The valuation is very much stretched. The company has no definitive business plans. The promoter group companies have history of de-listing from the Stock Exchanges. Some of the trademarks, logos and copyrights are not registered. The company is unable to disclose information in relation to certain promoter group companies. Promoters and promoter group have equity interests or investments in other entities that offer services that are related to the business of DB Corp.
BUSINESS CHALLENGES
D B Corp business is dependent on advertising revenue and a reduction in advertising expenditure, loss of advertising customers or inability to attract new customers could have a material adverse affect on the business. The company relies substantially on advertisements revenue. During the financial year ended March 31, 2009, the company derived 75.50% of consolidated income from advertisement income.
According to PWC report, the media growth rate to increase in 2010 to 10.4%, from of about 9% now, as economic conditions are expected to gradually improve. The industry will continue to grow at increasing rate and there will be an overall compounded annual growth rate for the period 2009-13 of 10.5 percent. The report also predicts a healthy growth in all eight segments of entertainment and media industry in next four years (2010 to 2013). These are television, filmed entertainment, print media comprising newspaper and magazine publishing, radio, emerging segments like music, animation, gaming, internet advertising.
The Indian newspaper industry is intensely competitive. In each of the markets, DB Corp faces competition from other newspapers for circulation, readership and advertising. In addition, they may face competition from other forms of media including, television broadcasters, magazines, radio broadcasters and websites. These other forms of media compete with newspapers for advertisement and for the time and attention of readers. The group may also face competition from international media companies as the Government of India has recently liberalized its foreign investment regulations and restrictions applicable to the media sector. Competition for circulation and readership has often resulted in competitors reducing the cover-prices of their newspapers. Furthermore, competition for advertising from newspapers has often resulted in competitors reducing advertising rates or offering price incentives to advertising customers. Such reduction in prices or rates or the introduction of new price incentives could have a material adverse effect on financials.
Circulation and readership of newspapers among readers is an important source of revenue as they significantly influence ad-spend by advertisers and advertising rates. Circulation and readership are dependent on, among other factors, the quality of editorial content and the preferences of readers, the reach of newspapers, and the loyalty of readers to newspapers and ability to successfully establish new locally focused newspapers in new regions. Any failure to meet readers’ preferences, quality content may affect circulation and in turn revenues.
The issue is very unattractively priced. There is nothing left for investors. AVOID SUBSCRIPTION.
DISCLAIMER
The opinions expressed on this site are personal.Apply your own judgment before making investments of any kind. Thank you.
Friday, December 4, 2009
IPO ANALYSIS: GODREJ PROPERTIES LIMITED – SURE WINNER - APPLY
Mumbai based, leading real estate development company, who are one of the top ten builders in the country, is entering the capital markets, to raise around Rs 500 crore, with public issue of 94,29,750 equity shares of Rs 10/- each in the price band of Rs 490 -530. The issue will open on 09-12-09 and close on 12-12-09. ICICI Securities limited, Kotak Mahindra Capital Company, IDFC- SSKI LIMITED and Nomura Financial Advisory Securities Pvt limited are the Book Running Lead Managers to the issue.
The company is promoted by Godrej Industries Limited, which holds around 80% of equity share capital. Godrej Industries Limited is the listed flagship company of the Godrej group, which is one of the leading business conglomerates in the country.
Godrej Group is engaged in diverse business segments, spanning Home appliances, FMCG, Consumer products, Industrial products , Oleo chemicals, Animal feed, Real estate development and Oil palm plantations.
Godrej properties limited (GPL) has real estate development projects in 10 cities in India, which are at various stages of development. Currently, the business focus is on residential, commercial and township developments. GPL is a fully integrated real estate development company involved in all activities associated with the development of residential and commercial real estate.
GPL, as of October 15, 2009, has Land Reserves of 391.04 acres aggregating approximately 82.74 million sq. ft. of Developable Area and 50.21 million sq. ft. of Saleable Area, located in or around prominent and growing cities across India, such as Mumbai, Pune, Bengaluru and Ahmedabad. As on the same date the company has completed a total of 23 projects comprising 16 residential and 7 commercial projects, aggregating approximately 5.13 million sq. ft. of area for development.
OBJECT OF THE ISSUE
The company plans to raise around Rs 500 cr, intends to use Rs 203 cr for acquisition of land development rights for forthcoming projects, Rs 75 cr for construction purposes, Rs 172 cr for repayment of loans and the rest is for general corporate purposes.
FINANCIALS
The company reported a robust income of Rs 247.38cr, 227.50cr and 137.26cr in the last three years. The profit after tax was Rs 76.62cr, 74.85cr and 28.72cr respectively for the same period. The average RoNW during the same period was around 34%.
VALUATION
GPL is promoted by reputed Godrej group, which has very strong brand equity. Excellent financial track record. Leaders in corporate governance. In the price band of Rs 490-530 the stock is valued at about 40 times of its earning for FY-09. ICRA has awarded grade 4 for the IPO indicating above average fundamentals. The high valuation is justified considering the strong financials, brand equity and future business prospects.
CHALLENGES AND STRATEGIES
The company’s ability to successfully compete in new segments across different geographies is yet to be demonstrated. Due to general recession, proportion of un-booked space in the on-going commercial projects exposes it to market risks. Further slowdown in real estate segment may affect the demand and resultant decline in property prices. This coupled with oversupply situation in many pockets can affect the prices further, which will have cascading impact on financials.
As per CRISIL estimate, the annual additions in units are expected to grow from 70 million units in 2008 to reach 81 million units in 2014. Estimated annual additions in units in rural areas are to grow from 174 million units in 2008 from 198 million units in 2014. GPL with selective acquisition of land parcels in strategic locations, also enter into development agreements with land owners to acquire development rights to their land in exchange for a pre-determined portion of revenues, profits or developable area generated from the projects. The Godrej brand name and the reputation associated with it contribute in attracting potential joint development partners . This business model enables undertaking more projects without having to invest large amounts of money towards purchasing land. Hence, GPL is able to limit risk through project diversification while maintaining significant management control over our projects. A SURE WINNER FROM THE GODREJ STABLE. APPLY.
The company is promoted by Godrej Industries Limited, which holds around 80% of equity share capital. Godrej Industries Limited is the listed flagship company of the Godrej group, which is one of the leading business conglomerates in the country.
Godrej Group is engaged in diverse business segments, spanning Home appliances, FMCG, Consumer products, Industrial products , Oleo chemicals, Animal feed, Real estate development and Oil palm plantations.
Godrej properties limited (GPL) has real estate development projects in 10 cities in India, which are at various stages of development. Currently, the business focus is on residential, commercial and township developments. GPL is a fully integrated real estate development company involved in all activities associated with the development of residential and commercial real estate.
GPL, as of October 15, 2009, has Land Reserves of 391.04 acres aggregating approximately 82.74 million sq. ft. of Developable Area and 50.21 million sq. ft. of Saleable Area, located in or around prominent and growing cities across India, such as Mumbai, Pune, Bengaluru and Ahmedabad. As on the same date the company has completed a total of 23 projects comprising 16 residential and 7 commercial projects, aggregating approximately 5.13 million sq. ft. of area for development.
OBJECT OF THE ISSUE
The company plans to raise around Rs 500 cr, intends to use Rs 203 cr for acquisition of land development rights for forthcoming projects, Rs 75 cr for construction purposes, Rs 172 cr for repayment of loans and the rest is for general corporate purposes.
FINANCIALS
The company reported a robust income of Rs 247.38cr, 227.50cr and 137.26cr in the last three years. The profit after tax was Rs 76.62cr, 74.85cr and 28.72cr respectively for the same period. The average RoNW during the same period was around 34%.
VALUATION
GPL is promoted by reputed Godrej group, which has very strong brand equity. Excellent financial track record. Leaders in corporate governance. In the price band of Rs 490-530 the stock is valued at about 40 times of its earning for FY-09. ICRA has awarded grade 4 for the IPO indicating above average fundamentals. The high valuation is justified considering the strong financials, brand equity and future business prospects.
CHALLENGES AND STRATEGIES
The company’s ability to successfully compete in new segments across different geographies is yet to be demonstrated. Due to general recession, proportion of un-booked space in the on-going commercial projects exposes it to market risks. Further slowdown in real estate segment may affect the demand and resultant decline in property prices. This coupled with oversupply situation in many pockets can affect the prices further, which will have cascading impact on financials.
As per CRISIL estimate, the annual additions in units are expected to grow from 70 million units in 2008 to reach 81 million units in 2014. Estimated annual additions in units in rural areas are to grow from 174 million units in 2008 from 198 million units in 2014. GPL with selective acquisition of land parcels in strategic locations, also enter into development agreements with land owners to acquire development rights to their land in exchange for a pre-determined portion of revenues, profits or developable area generated from the projects. The Godrej brand name and the reputation associated with it contribute in attracting potential joint development partners . This business model enables undertaking more projects without having to invest large amounts of money towards purchasing land. Hence, GPL is able to limit risk through project diversification while maintaining significant management control over our projects. A SURE WINNER FROM THE GODREJ STABLE. APPLY.
Tuesday, November 24, 2009
IPO ANALYSIS: JSW ENERGY LIMITED – POWER PACKED - APPLY
Jindal group needs no introduction in capital markets. The group has business interest in the steel, power, cement, aluminum, software, power trading and infrastructure sectors.
The power company from the JSW group is planning to raise Rs 2700 cr through IPO, in the price band of Rs 100 - 115 per share, having face value of Rs.10 per share. The issue will open on 07-12-09 and closes on 09-12-09.
JM Financial Consultants Pvt Ltd, Kotak Mahindra Capital Ltd., ICICI Securities Ltd., IDFC-SSKI Ltd., JP Morgan India Ltd., SBI Capital Markets Ltd., Morgan Stanley India Ltd. and IDBI Capital market Services ltd are the book running lead managers to the issue.
JSW Energy limited, is a part of the JSW Group, headed by Mr. Sajjan Jindal.The company currently owns and operates thermal power plants in Karnataka with an aggregate capacity of 860 MW. It also provides operation & maintenance services for power plants of group companies and project management services for the power plants being set up by the group. JSWEL is currently in the process of enhancing its power generation capacity by 2,790 MW. It is also setting up a transmission line network and developing lignite mines through joint ventures.
OBJECTS OF THE ISSUE
The funds raised are intended to be used for setting up power plants. Repayment of high cost corporate debts and for general corporate purposes.
The cost of the projects is estimated at Rs.14,048 crore and is being funded in a debt to equity ratio of 2.45:1 i.e. long-term debt of Rs.9,979.50 crore and equity of Rs.4,068.50 crore. The company has already tied up the total debt component while, funds aggregating Rs.5, 982 crore were deployed in the various projects as on June 30, 2009. State Bank of India and ICICI Banks have appraised and funded the projects.
VALUATION
The company had a CAGR in excess of 30%, in revenue generation, in the last three years. Consistently profit making company. Professional and experienced management. Known for good corporate governance. Strong financials. Power plant are located at diverge geographical locations. The issue has been graded by rating agency CARE as Grade 4, indicating above-average fundamentals. The company’s RoNW is at 18% as on 31-03-09. At Rs 100 -115, the issue is very attractively priced. Retail investors are offered a discount of Rs 5/.
OPPORTUNITIES
On the successful commissioning of the projects, JSWEL would have benefit of the prevailing high merchant tariff for short term. Given the significant power supply deficit in the country and government recognizing the power sector as a key infrastructure sector to be developed to sustain Indian economic growth, prospects for
growth is favorable for companies in the power sector.
One of the established energy company. One of the early entrants in the power trading business. Currently most of the revenue is derived from power generation. The company has the potential to become an integrated power company in the Indian power sector with presence across the value chain.
The low per capita consumption of electric power in India compared to the world average presents a significant potential for sustainable growth in the demand for electric power in India. There is a very big gap between demand and supply, demand being higher. The company is in the right business at the right time. Investors are advised to apply for the issue for both short term and long term appreciation.
VERY ATTRACTIVELY PRICED APPLY.
The power company from the JSW group is planning to raise Rs 2700 cr through IPO, in the price band of Rs 100 - 115 per share, having face value of Rs.10 per share. The issue will open on 07-12-09 and closes on 09-12-09.
JM Financial Consultants Pvt Ltd, Kotak Mahindra Capital Ltd., ICICI Securities Ltd., IDFC-SSKI Ltd., JP Morgan India Ltd., SBI Capital Markets Ltd., Morgan Stanley India Ltd. and IDBI Capital market Services ltd are the book running lead managers to the issue.
JSW Energy limited, is a part of the JSW Group, headed by Mr. Sajjan Jindal.The company currently owns and operates thermal power plants in Karnataka with an aggregate capacity of 860 MW. It also provides operation & maintenance services for power plants of group companies and project management services for the power plants being set up by the group. JSWEL is currently in the process of enhancing its power generation capacity by 2,790 MW. It is also setting up a transmission line network and developing lignite mines through joint ventures.
OBJECTS OF THE ISSUE
The funds raised are intended to be used for setting up power plants. Repayment of high cost corporate debts and for general corporate purposes.
The cost of the projects is estimated at Rs.14,048 crore and is being funded in a debt to equity ratio of 2.45:1 i.e. long-term debt of Rs.9,979.50 crore and equity of Rs.4,068.50 crore. The company has already tied up the total debt component while, funds aggregating Rs.5, 982 crore were deployed in the various projects as on June 30, 2009. State Bank of India and ICICI Banks have appraised and funded the projects.
VALUATION
The company had a CAGR in excess of 30%, in revenue generation, in the last three years. Consistently profit making company. Professional and experienced management. Known for good corporate governance. Strong financials. Power plant are located at diverge geographical locations. The issue has been graded by rating agency CARE as Grade 4, indicating above-average fundamentals. The company’s RoNW is at 18% as on 31-03-09. At Rs 100 -115, the issue is very attractively priced. Retail investors are offered a discount of Rs 5/.
OPPORTUNITIES
On the successful commissioning of the projects, JSWEL would have benefit of the prevailing high merchant tariff for short term. Given the significant power supply deficit in the country and government recognizing the power sector as a key infrastructure sector to be developed to sustain Indian economic growth, prospects for
growth is favorable for companies in the power sector.
One of the established energy company. One of the early entrants in the power trading business. Currently most of the revenue is derived from power generation. The company has the potential to become an integrated power company in the Indian power sector with presence across the value chain.
The low per capita consumption of electric power in India compared to the world average presents a significant potential for sustainable growth in the demand for electric power in India. There is a very big gap between demand and supply, demand being higher. The company is in the right business at the right time. Investors are advised to apply for the issue for both short term and long term appreciation.
VERY ATTRACTIVELY PRICED APPLY.
Monday, November 23, 2009
IPO ANALYSIS : MBL INFRASTRUCTURE LIMITED -BUMPY ROADS - BETTER AVOID
The Kolkatta based infrastructure development company is planning to raise around Rs 100 cr through IPO, which is slated to open on 27-11-09 and closes on 01-12-09. The company proposes to issue 57, 00,000 of equity shares of Rs 10/each in the price band of Rs 165-180. Motilal Oswal Investment advisors are the Book Running Lead Manager.
The company is promoted by R G Maheshwari and associates, was originally incorporated as Maheshwari Brothers Limited and subsequently changed its name.
The company is engaged in the construction and maintenance of roads and highways, industrial infrastructure projects, other civil engineering projects for various government bodies and other clients.
The company has a pan India presence and has executed or in the process of execution a number of projects in states of West Bengal, Madhya Pradesh, Maharashtra, Rajasthan, Assam, Uttar Pradesh, Bihar, Delhi Andhra Pradesh, Haryana and Karnataka.
The company has also interest in steel trading and waste management and ready mix concrete business.
OBJECTS OF THE ISSUE
The company intends to use the proceeds of the Issue for procurement of capital equipments, investments in joint ventures, for BOT projects, for working capital requirements and for meeting general corporate purposes. However, the project has not been appraised by any Bank or Financial Institution.
VALUATION
The company has recorded robust revenue and profitability in the last three years and has track record of dividend payment. At Rs 165 (lower end), the price earning ratio of 17 is very much on the higher side, compared to the peers of the sector which are available for less than 10 P/E. Certain criminal cases are pending against the company/ its subsidiaries/group companies and income tax (disappropriate income) appeal. Company is heavily dependent on government/government funded projects. The rating agency ICRA has awarded grade 2 indicating below average fundamentals. The premium sought is very much is on the high side, considering the above factors.
CHALLENGES AND RISKS
Demand for infrastructure services depends mainly on general developmental activities in the country and expenditure levels in the building and infrastructure sectors. The infrastructure services are principally dependent on sustained economic development in the regions in which the company operates. In addition, demand for infrastructure services is largely dependent on government policies relating to infrastructure development and budgetary allocations made by governments for such development, as well as funding provided by international and multilateral development financial institutions for infrastructure projects. Investment by the private sector in infrastructure projects is dependent on the potential returns from such projects, is therefore linked to government policies relating to private sector participation and the sharing of risks, and returns from such projects. A reduction of capital investment in the building or infrastructure sectors for any reason could have a material adverse effect on business, results of operations and financial condition. Instability of economic policies and the political situation in India could adversely affect the fortunes of the Industry. Investors are advised to stay away from the issue.
The company is promoted by R G Maheshwari and associates, was originally incorporated as Maheshwari Brothers Limited and subsequently changed its name.
The company is engaged in the construction and maintenance of roads and highways, industrial infrastructure projects, other civil engineering projects for various government bodies and other clients.
The company has a pan India presence and has executed or in the process of execution a number of projects in states of West Bengal, Madhya Pradesh, Maharashtra, Rajasthan, Assam, Uttar Pradesh, Bihar, Delhi Andhra Pradesh, Haryana and Karnataka.
The company has also interest in steel trading and waste management and ready mix concrete business.
OBJECTS OF THE ISSUE
The company intends to use the proceeds of the Issue for procurement of capital equipments, investments in joint ventures, for BOT projects, for working capital requirements and for meeting general corporate purposes. However, the project has not been appraised by any Bank or Financial Institution.
VALUATION
The company has recorded robust revenue and profitability in the last three years and has track record of dividend payment. At Rs 165 (lower end), the price earning ratio of 17 is very much on the higher side, compared to the peers of the sector which are available for less than 10 P/E. Certain criminal cases are pending against the company/ its subsidiaries/group companies and income tax (disappropriate income) appeal. Company is heavily dependent on government/government funded projects. The rating agency ICRA has awarded grade 2 indicating below average fundamentals. The premium sought is very much is on the high side, considering the above factors.
CHALLENGES AND RISKS
Demand for infrastructure services depends mainly on general developmental activities in the country and expenditure levels in the building and infrastructure sectors. The infrastructure services are principally dependent on sustained economic development in the regions in which the company operates. In addition, demand for infrastructure services is largely dependent on government policies relating to infrastructure development and budgetary allocations made by governments for such development, as well as funding provided by international and multilateral development financial institutions for infrastructure projects. Investment by the private sector in infrastructure projects is dependent on the potential returns from such projects, is therefore linked to government policies relating to private sector participation and the sharing of risks, and returns from such projects. A reduction of capital investment in the building or infrastructure sectors for any reason could have a material adverse effect on business, results of operations and financial condition. Instability of economic policies and the political situation in India could adversely affect the fortunes of the Industry. Investors are advised to stay away from the issue.
Sunday, November 15, 2009
IPO ANALYSIS: COX & KINGS: ATTRACTIVELY PRICED – APPLY
One of the leading and oldest recognised service provider in the travel and tourism industry with pan India and global presence in 18 countries is planning to raise around Rs 600 crore through IPO. The company proposes to issue 1,84, 96,640-equity shares of Rs 10/ each, including offer for sale of 30, 46,640 shares in the price band of Rs 316 -330/ share. The issue is slated to open on 18-11-09 and closes on 20-11-09. India Info line limited are the Book Running Lead Manager.
The company caters to the overall travel needs of an Indian and International traveller and it is one of the India’s largest tour and travel operator, which serve as a ‘One Stop Shop’ for all travel and travel related products.
Cox & Kings business are broadly categorised as Leisure Travel, Corporate Travel, Forex and Visa Processing. They also design travel packages for both individuals and groups for their domestic and international leisure travel, as travel arrangements for corporate clients to cater to their business meetings, conferences and events. They also provide end-to-end travel solutions including land, air and cruise bookings, hotel bookings, in-transit arrangements, local sightseeing, visa, passport and medical insurance assistance. The company continuously innovates product offerings with the flexibility to meet the changing needs of the customers and to address their needs better.
OBJECTS OF THE ISSUE
The proceeds of the IPO are intended to be deployed for acquisitions, investments in overseas subsidiaries, repayment of loans and for general corporate purposes.
THE PRICING
Taking into consideration the company’s strong brand equity, efficient management, wide range of products, geographical reach, investment in technology and financial performances, the issue can be considered very attractively priced. The rating agency CARE has assigned Grade 4, indicating above average fundamentals. At Rs 316-330, the price-to-earning ratio is around 16 multiple based on the average weighted EPS of Rs 22.00 for the last three years, as against the average industry PE multiple of 36. There is enough scope for further appreciation.
CHALLENGES
The company operates in a highly competitive market and hence faces stiff competition from other players operating in this sector as also from the un-organized sectors. Many Indian and foreign players have entered the market both in the online and offline space. Pricing is one of the key factors that play an important role in customers’ selection of products. There are several strategies adopted by competitors to increase their market share through advertising, pricing, service, new product innovations and distribution reach amongst others. This increased competition by both traditional and new players is likely to affect margins. However, this could stand mitigated by the the brand equity and the trust it has earned over the years. The company appears well poised to face the challenges and emerge a winner. This is one of the public issues that the investors can apply and look for positive returns.
The company caters to the overall travel needs of an Indian and International traveller and it is one of the India’s largest tour and travel operator, which serve as a ‘One Stop Shop’ for all travel and travel related products.
Cox & Kings business are broadly categorised as Leisure Travel, Corporate Travel, Forex and Visa Processing. They also design travel packages for both individuals and groups for their domestic and international leisure travel, as travel arrangements for corporate clients to cater to their business meetings, conferences and events. They also provide end-to-end travel solutions including land, air and cruise bookings, hotel bookings, in-transit arrangements, local sightseeing, visa, passport and medical insurance assistance. The company continuously innovates product offerings with the flexibility to meet the changing needs of the customers and to address their needs better.
OBJECTS OF THE ISSUE
The proceeds of the IPO are intended to be deployed for acquisitions, investments in overseas subsidiaries, repayment of loans and for general corporate purposes.
THE PRICING
Taking into consideration the company’s strong brand equity, efficient management, wide range of products, geographical reach, investment in technology and financial performances, the issue can be considered very attractively priced. The rating agency CARE has assigned Grade 4, indicating above average fundamentals. At Rs 316-330, the price-to-earning ratio is around 16 multiple based on the average weighted EPS of Rs 22.00 for the last three years, as against the average industry PE multiple of 36. There is enough scope for further appreciation.
CHALLENGES
The company operates in a highly competitive market and hence faces stiff competition from other players operating in this sector as also from the un-organized sectors. Many Indian and foreign players have entered the market both in the online and offline space. Pricing is one of the key factors that play an important role in customers’ selection of products. There are several strategies adopted by competitors to increase their market share through advertising, pricing, service, new product innovations and distribution reach amongst others. This increased competition by both traditional and new players is likely to affect margins. However, this could stand mitigated by the the brand equity and the trust it has earned over the years. The company appears well poised to face the challenges and emerge a winner. This is one of the public issues that the investors can apply and look for positive returns.
Tuesday, November 10, 2009
ACTS OF IMMATURITY
The unruly behavior of the MNS legislators (Goonda Raj HT 10-11-09) in the assembly during the oath taking ceremony on 09-11-09, in assaulting the SP MLA for taking oath in Hindi is a shameful act. There are many peaceful ways to express one’s views on a subject. These kinds of behavior indicate how immature one is. Earlier, the same Samajawadi party MLA had made a ridiculous demand, that the business agenda of the Assembly should be made available in Hindi. He has chosen Maharastra for his political career and the people of the state have been magnanimous enough to elect him to the Assembly from two places. Propriety demands learning/acquiring working knowledge of Marathi language even before contesting the election. He should have respected the public sentiments and taken oath in Marathi. Being an elected representative, it is beyond anyone’s understanding as to how Azmi is going to inter act with the people of his constituency. Voters should take note of the above acts of immaturity, by both the sides, while excersing their franchise in future.
Tuesday, November 3, 2009
INDIRA GANDHI WAS A GREAT LEADER, PAR EXCELLENCE
The views expressed by Parsa Venkateshwar Rao Jr in the article’ Indira Gandhi was merely a politician’(DNA 03-11-09) is not correct. She had all the qualities of a very strong, great leader. Bank nationalization, Pokaran nuclear test, Garibi hatav programme, Right of ownership to the tiller, the win against Pakistan in 1971 war, are some of the feathers in her cap. She was the true leader who knew the pulse of the voters. Her strong leadership qualities when in power and out of it was hailed in India as well outside the country. Although there were some drawback in her style of functioning, it is wrong to attribute the same as lack leadership. Politics is a different ball game. One has to deal with the elected representative whether they are educated or not, whether they understands host of other things of efficient administration. Even today, it is difficult attract talented people for various (obvious) reasons for any political party. The assertion that she lacked the ability to build a team of talented people is again not correct. Contrary to the views expressed in the article, undoubtedly Indira Gandhi was one of the greatest leader India has produced and not merely a politician.
Monday, November 2, 2009
TENDULKAR DISMISSAL, TURNING POINT
The not so formidable bowling attack of Australia defended the modest score of 250 runs on a good batting pitch. The all-round display by Shane Watson helped the Aussies to win the Mohali match. India started well, Sewag hitting the ball to all parts of the ground. As it happens most of the time, he did not lost long. Master blaster, Tendulkar, was shaping his innings well. Cricket fans were hoping that he would cross the all-important milestone of scoring 17000 runs in ODI. However, a wrong decision by the umpire (as confirmed by the television reply) adjudging him as out, to a ball which was pitched outside the leg stump, turned out be the turning point of the match. After that, India lost wickets at regular intervals and the run rate started climbing. Harbhajan Singh did his best. That was not good enough for India. He and Praveen Kumar have demonstrated in this series so far, that they have the potential to become genuine all rounders. The team management should take note this and utilize their batting potential to the maximum in the overall interest of the team India.
DESPERATE BASU
The patriarch of CPM, the man who holds the record, for occupying the post chief minister for highest number of years in the history of Indian democracy, is desperate to save his party, in the coming assembly by polls. Basu has sought the support of traditional Congress voters to fight the Trinamool Congress. What an irony. The man, who fought against the party his entire life, is seeking the votes of the supporters of the same party. The reason being that the LEFT gave unconditional support at the center to counter the threat of communalism. The people of the state/country are also aware that the bottleneck they created for various developmental programmes and for reforms, the UPA government wanted to implement sincerely. Moreover, for the same reason that the LEFT were routed out in the previous Lok Sabha election. Since then there is no change its programme, policies and ideology. Hence, on what basis Basu is seeking the support of Congress voters is perplexing. It appears, writing on the wall, for LEFT is very clear. As a seasoned politician, he can read very early and clearly than others can.
Sunday, November 1, 2009
CATCH THE OTHER FISHES, TOO
First time in the history of Indian democracy, a sitting Loksabha member is to be prosecuted under the Prevention of Money Laundering, Act (PMLA). (TOI 01-11-09). The MP in question is, Madhu Koda, an independent from Jharkand. The I T department conducted nationwide raids on 60 premises belonging to him/his associates for diversion of funds to the extent of Rs800 crore during tenure as chief minister of the state. Whoever is responsible for this initiative/action against a politician should be congratulated. At least a beginning has been made to weed out corruption in politics. Politics as a profession pays you nothing. Then, why are most of our politicians crorepathis. Unless they are corrupt (barring exception) and pursue unethical ways to amass wealth this cannot happen. There are big fishes in other political parties, including the Congress, who have amassed wealth much against their known sources of income, by virtue of being in politics or being close to a leading politician. It is universal truth that most politicians spend 20-25 times more than the limit fixed by Election Commission while fighting an election. There are loopholes in the system and they easily escape being caught. Will the establishment responsible for action against Madhu Koda initiate similar action against other corrupt politicians in the country. Otherwise, one would presume that action against Madhu Koda is a political stunt ahead of assembly election in the state or he is being singled out because he does not belong to any major national/regional political party.
ABSENCE OF BIG HITTERS FELT
Aussies lackluster batting performance in Kotla ground is responsible for their second consecutive defeat against India. Ponting was surely missing the services of Gilchrist, Mathew Hayden and Andrew Symonds, the all time big, awesome, hitters in the game. These players were capable of taking any bowling attack head-on and single handedly win matches for their side. After winning the toss, Ponting elected to bat and opened the innings with Watson. Both struggled to score runs at a brisk rate. Ponting was more cautious, aware the absence of big hitters in the side. The average per over score was around four runs, until the 40th over. One expected the firework in the last ten overs. However, nothing happened. The final score of 220 odd runs was never a tough target for the strong batting line-up of India. Dhoni and Yuvraj played sensibly and India had no difficulty in reaching the target. Its good, India won the match. However, the real action was missing. Long live the phenomenal hitters.
IPO ANALYSIS: ASTEC LIFE SCIENCES LIMITED - AVOID
The agro chemical and pharmaceutical company is planning to raise Rs 61.50 cr through IPO. The company proposes to issue 75, 00,000 of equity shares of Rs 10 each at a premium of Rs 82.00. The issue will open on 29-10-09 and closes on 04-11-09. ALMONDZ GLOBAL SECURITIES LIMITED are the Book Running Lead Manager.
The company is promoted by Ashok Hiremath and Dr.P.L. Tiwari.
The company under the Agrochemical segment, manufactures active ingredients, intermediates and formulations. Active ingredients are sold to crop protection formulators. Intermediates are supplied to technical grade product manufacturers. Formulations are sold in bulk quantities to companies engaged in retail marketing.
Under the Pharmaceutical segment, our Company carries out manufacturing of intermediates which are supplied to Active Pharma Ingredients manufacturers.
Objects of the Issue
1. Expansion of existing manufacturing facilities.
2. Expansion of existing Research and Development facility.
3. Meeting long-term working capital requirements.
4. General Corporate Purposes.
FINANCIALS: 08-09 07-08 06-07 (Rs in lacs)
Total Income 6,120.78 9,388.07 2,750.59
Net Profit after tax 793.52 1,072.78 342.86
RISK FACTORS:
• Scale of operations is very small.
• There is delay in execution of expansion capacity.
• Minimal global presence.
• Expansion project is funded entirely through equity.
• The company faces unresolved litigation, which could pose risks to its operations. Nath Biogene, a former customer, has alleged supply of spurious products by the company; which Astec has disputed.
VALUATION AND RECOMMENDATIONS:
In the price band of Rs 77-82, the offer price discounts the company’s 2008-09 earnings by 12 times, on the expanded equity.
The larger listed peers in the sector — Meghmani Organics and Sabero Organics — are available for less than 6 P/E. AVOID SUBSCRIPTION.
The company is promoted by Ashok Hiremath and Dr.P.L. Tiwari.
The company under the Agrochemical segment, manufactures active ingredients, intermediates and formulations. Active ingredients are sold to crop protection formulators. Intermediates are supplied to technical grade product manufacturers. Formulations are sold in bulk quantities to companies engaged in retail marketing.
Under the Pharmaceutical segment, our Company carries out manufacturing of intermediates which are supplied to Active Pharma Ingredients manufacturers.
Objects of the Issue
1. Expansion of existing manufacturing facilities.
2. Expansion of existing Research and Development facility.
3. Meeting long-term working capital requirements.
4. General Corporate Purposes.
FINANCIALS: 08-09 07-08 06-07 (Rs in lacs)
Total Income 6,120.78 9,388.07 2,750.59
Net Profit after tax 793.52 1,072.78 342.86
RISK FACTORS:
• Scale of operations is very small.
• There is delay in execution of expansion capacity.
• Minimal global presence.
• Expansion project is funded entirely through equity.
• The company faces unresolved litigation, which could pose risks to its operations. Nath Biogene, a former customer, has alleged supply of spurious products by the company; which Astec has disputed.
VALUATION AND RECOMMENDATIONS:
In the price band of Rs 77-82, the offer price discounts the company’s 2008-09 earnings by 12 times, on the expanded equity.
The larger listed peers in the sector — Meghmani Organics and Sabero Organics — are available for less than 6 P/E. AVOID SUBSCRIPTION.
LESSONS FROM SQUABBLINGS IN BJP
The party with a difference, much disciplined, development oriented and cadre based party’s image in Karnataka is in shambles because of indiscipline, infighting and most important lust for power. The state is reeling under un precedented havoc caused by the floods, the elected representatives of BJP for fighting in the streets to fulfill their personal agenda. More intriguing was, while addressing the press conference after his return from ‘Kukke subramaya’ C M Yediyurappa asserted that all his colleagues, MLAs are working overtime to help the people affected in flood affected districts. To the astonishment of viewers, this statement comes when nearly 60 dissident MLAs are locked at Hotels in Andhra Pradesh and Goa, enjoying their free/sponsored holidays. The inorganic growth of BJP in Karnataka is one of the major contributors for party’s indiscipline and dissidence. With the sole intention of winning elections, if people who do not believe in the ideology, policies and programmes are admitted to the party, the current situation is bound to happen. Although the present C M does not have much experience, he has done reasonably well in all fronts. One does not know the real demands of Reddy brothers. The M P from south Bangalore, who was once calling the shots in Karnataka’s BJP affairs is watching the entire ‘drama’ as mute spectator. The central leadership may work-out a compromise formula and solder the relationship between the warring Reddy brothers and the C M, but any such relationship will not be strong.
Thursday, October 29, 2009
STRIP ALL TITLES
The startling revelation by the one of the greatest of player of tennis, that he was using recreational drug, crystal methamphetamine, popularly known as ‘speed’ in hey days, has shocked the tennis fans across the world. More startling was, that the governing body of ATP relied on the statement of Agassi overlooking the findings of the doctor in the drug test. The ATP should strip all the titles won by Agassi, ban him for life from associating himself with tennis any capacity. No one is bigger than the game.
Wednesday, October 28, 2009
UN IMAGINATIVE CAPTAINCY
Ricky Ponting, after winning the all important toss, chose to field first on a placid, high scoring pitch in Nagpur for surprise of every one. Knowing that the services of his prime strike bowler are not available, one wonders what made Ponting to field first on an excellent batting pitch. Expect for getting the wicket of Tendulkar early, nothing went right for Assies. Indian batsmen scored runs at will. Suresh Raina and Sewag contributed runs at very good strike rate. Dhoni led the team from front and scored a match winning century. Chasing 350 odd runs by any team on any pitch is not easy. Assies lost wickets in quick session. There were no partnerships. There was need for a cameo innings from some one like M.Jhonsen. Ahead of him Ponting sent the inexperienced Voges, Shuan Marsh, knowing well the cameo innings Jhonsen is capable of. He was sent in after the fall of five wickets, with only 12-13 over remaining to do the impossible. It appears Ponting wrong judgment might have cost them the match.
CONGRESS SHOULD CHOOSE ITS ALLY CAREFULLY
For the forthcoming election in Jharkhand, scheduled for December, the Congress should choose its ally carefully. Leaders with criminal records and leaders with charges of corruption should be kept out of pre-poll alliance/any alliance. Voters are interested in good governance, stability, communal harmony and development. Jharkand which is in rich in natural resources is one of the most backward states in the country. However, the previous governments, for various reasons could not exploit this strength to the maximum, developmental activities were minimal. A strong, stable government with focus on development will take the state to greater heights. The situation is tailor made for Congress.
BJP NEEDS BOTH
The RSS chief Mohan Bhagwat is right in suggesting that BJP needs either surgery or chemotherapy and they themselves should decide what they need (DNA 28-10-09). I think BJP needs both, for complete over haul and image make over. The performance of the party under the leadership of Rajnath Singh as the party president is very un impressive. The party has lost miserably in the Lok Sahha elections and its performance in the three states that went election this month is lackluster. The party’s image took a severe beating in Jaswant Singh episode. The internal bickering, indiscipline (Raje’s defiance in Rajasthan and Reddy brothers’ behavior in Karnataka, among others) makes mockery of the so called cadre based and disciplined party, a laughing stock. Rajnath Singh remarked Bhawat’s suggestion as mad. Only time will who is mad. But there is urgent need for change of the leadership at the highest level with people who are young, dynamic and has vision to attract the masses.
Tuesday, October 27, 2009
RIGHT MEDICINE
The RBI, in its credit policy review, has increased the requirement of SLR by 100 basis point to 25%. The other key rates, including CRR, REPO and reserve REPO rates kept unchanged. The RBI has rightly tightened the provisioning norms for NPAs. The reality sector which was expecting some favorable policy decision been disappointed. This kind of independent, pragmatic policy measures taken by RBI has saved the country from financial melt down as experienced by some Western countries during the last year. And it so no surprise that RBI has been hailed as one the best regulator in the world.
WRONG ALLEGATION
Appeared in DNA Mumbai on 28-10-09.
The allegation by Pakistan’s interior minister Rehman Malik that India is funding Taliban (DNA 27-10-09) is a joke. The whole world knows that the Taliban is creation of establishment in Pak to wage proxy war against India. It is continuously nurtured and funded by the successive governments of Pak. When things are going out of control, (the recent series of bomb attacks by extremists there) the Establishment has chosen the wildest improbable to blame India for existence of Taliban.
The allegation by Pakistan’s interior minister Rehman Malik that India is funding Taliban (DNA 27-10-09) is a joke. The whole world knows that the Taliban is creation of establishment in Pak to wage proxy war against India. It is continuously nurtured and funded by the successive governments of Pak. When things are going out of control, (the recent series of bomb attacks by extremists there) the Establishment has chosen the wildest improbable to blame India for existence of Taliban.
OZ IS NOT SAFE
Cricket fans love Gilchrist. The way he demolishes the bowlers of his opposite side. The way he can single handedly win matches and the way he can bring victory from the jaws of defeat for his side. The gentlemanly behavior on the field. That is cricket. But his assertion in Pune that OZ is still safe for students is not correct. He has termed the incidents as generic and could happen anywhere. The problem is not generic, it is the attitude and mind set of the people. The series of racial attacks on Indian students in Australia are appalling to say, the least. The students have been attacked without any provocation. It is indication of growing frustration and non-tolerant attitude of Australians against India which is emerging as a powerful economy. Equal or number of Indian students go to USA for studies. No such problems in America. As good will ambassadors, Australian cricketers must put pressure on their government to take preventive action in this respect. Advice to Indian students – chose Australia as a lost resort for higher education, since some of the Universities there are fake and it is an unsafe destination.
Friday, October 23, 2009
MNS: A MAJOR OPPOSITION PARTY IN 2014
Contrary to the expectations of Shiv Sena and BJP, Raj’s MNS has performed remarkably in the recently concluded assembly elections in Maharastra. MNS has made strong in roads into the Sena bastions in the cities of Mumbai, Thana, Nashik and Pune. Apart from securing 13 seats they came second and third in many constituencies. Again this is a very credible performance for a three year old party. Raj Thackeray has the knack of connecting himself with the voters, particularly the young ones who matter most in the elections. His party promises to solve the problem related to migration, slum rehabilitation, power shortage, encroachment and host of other civic problems. MNS appears to be sincere in finding solutions to the above perennial problems. MNS is likely to be a major player in Maharastra politics in the years to come. Considering the progress they have achieved in a very short period, they are likely to garner lion’s share of seats in the Municipal/Civic elections in the above cities, as and when election are held. And it will not be a surprise if they emerge as a major opposition party/power player in the 2014 assembly elections.
IPO WATCH: DEN NET WORKS LIMITED
GROSSLY OVER PRICED – AVOID SUBSCRIPTION
Den networks limited is entering the capital market with public issue of 20,000,000 equity shares of Rs10 each in the price band of Rs 195-205. The company intends to raise around Rs 400 crores from the issue. The issue is slated to open on 28-10-09 and closes on 30-10-09. Deutsche Equities India and Antique Capital markets are the BRLMs.
The company is promoted by Sameer Manchanda and Lucid systems pvt. Limited.
The funds raised will be utilized for company’s cable television and infrastructure services, for acquisition of content and broad casting rights and for general purposes including part repayment of existing loans. The project has not been appraised by any bank or financial institution.
The company’s revenue growth heavily dependent on conversion of analog cable subscribers to become digital cable subscribers, in the highly competitive Television distribution industry. Also the company has limited experience in Broad band cable internet services, the other segment which it is interested.
The company has no track record of profitability, dividend payment. It has reported losses for the years 2008 and 2009 and had negative cash flows. The company also is heavily indebted.The average cost of acquisition of shares by promoters - Lucid systms and Sameer Manchanda is Rs 0.40 and Rs 8.80 respectively.
Neither the company’s past track record nor future business prospects justifies the very high premium on shares.
GROSSLY OVER PRICED. AVOID SUBSCRIPTION
Den networks limited is entering the capital market with public issue of 20,000,000 equity shares of Rs10 each in the price band of Rs 195-205. The company intends to raise around Rs 400 crores from the issue. The issue is slated to open on 28-10-09 and closes on 30-10-09. Deutsche Equities India and Antique Capital markets are the BRLMs.
The company is promoted by Sameer Manchanda and Lucid systems pvt. Limited.
The funds raised will be utilized for company’s cable television and infrastructure services, for acquisition of content and broad casting rights and for general purposes including part repayment of existing loans. The project has not been appraised by any bank or financial institution.
The company’s revenue growth heavily dependent on conversion of analog cable subscribers to become digital cable subscribers, in the highly competitive Television distribution industry. Also the company has limited experience in Broad band cable internet services, the other segment which it is interested.
The company has no track record of profitability, dividend payment. It has reported losses for the years 2008 and 2009 and had negative cash flows. The company also is heavily indebted.The average cost of acquisition of shares by promoters - Lucid systms and Sameer Manchanda is Rs 0.40 and Rs 8.80 respectively.
Neither the company’s past track record nor future business prospects justifies the very high premium on shares.
GROSSLY OVER PRICED. AVOID SUBSCRIPTION
WRONG SELECTION
Vinod Kambli has lost the assembly election from Vikhroli, Mumbai. He has lost his deposit too. Unlike his peers N S Siddhu, Mohd. Azaruddin, KAMBLI chose a wrong party to make his political debut. Very few know his party –Lok Bharati.Party and symbol are most important in an election. He is not that popular like SHARUKH KHAN, AMITAB OR SACHIN TENDULKAR to contest on any party ticket and get elected. Politics is a long term game. If he is serious about his chosen line, he should connect himself with the voters of his constituency and work sincerely in finding solutions to the chronic problems faced by the citizens of the constituency. He should try to associate with a national or a strong local party and try to build his political career slowly.
Thursday, October 22, 2009
RESULTS AS PREDICTED
While expressing my views on Tiger Tales (DNA 01-10-09)I had predicted that the Congress-NCP will come back to power on TINA factor and MNS will emerge even stronger. The prediction has come true. The views expressed on 01-10-09 is hereby re-published.
Thursday, October 1, 2009
MNS WILL EMERGE STRONGER
Interesting analysis of forthcoming assembly election of Maharstra by R.Jaganathan. (DNA Tiger Tales - 01-10-09) Although the performance of the DF government is lack luster, these combinations, again may come back to power on TINA factor. The BJP in the state is rudderless, Shiv Sena is steadily losing grounds because of split and infighting. The so called Third Front is a non starter. The MNS is making strong in roads into erstwhile Sena bastons. The Center’s rural unemployment guarantee scheme, farmers’ loan waiver and other initiatives taken in the field of education, rural health services will fetch substantial votes to Congress-NCP combine. The young voters who constitute nearly 70% of the total voters are interested youth leadership. Here, the Congress (Rahul Gandhi) and MNS has the advantage compared to the other parties. In the changed scenario the MNS will emerge stronger and even may play the role of king maker in the unlikely event of a hung assembly.
Posted by K A PRASANNA at 8:28 AM
Thursday, October 1, 2009
MNS WILL EMERGE STRONGER
Interesting analysis of forthcoming assembly election of Maharstra by R.Jaganathan. (DNA Tiger Tales - 01-10-09) Although the performance of the DF government is lack luster, these combinations, again may come back to power on TINA factor. The BJP in the state is rudderless, Shiv Sena is steadily losing grounds because of split and infighting. The so called Third Front is a non starter. The MNS is making strong in roads into erstwhile Sena bastons. The Center’s rural unemployment guarantee scheme, farmers’ loan waiver and other initiatives taken in the field of education, rural health services will fetch substantial votes to Congress-NCP combine. The young voters who constitute nearly 70% of the total voters are interested youth leadership. Here, the Congress (Rahul Gandhi) and MNS has the advantage compared to the other parties. In the changed scenario the MNS will emerge stronger and even may play the role of king maker in the unlikely event of a hung assembly.
Posted by K A PRASANNA at 8:28 AM
SILLY BJP STATEMENT
APPEARED IN DNA MUMBAI ON 24-10-09
The reaction of Abbas Naqvi, senior leader of BJP to the out come of results of assembly results of the three states terming EVMs as electronic victory machines for Congress is unfortunate. It appears that statement has come out of sheer frustration. The BJP, as expected had fared very badly in the election because of loss of image at the national level, infighting and lack of leadership at state level. Instead of accepting the defeat gracefully and introspect on the same our BJP leader has chosen the blame the EVMs.Modi in Gujarat, Chauvan in M P and B S Yediyurappa in Karnataka all rode back to power and the same EVMs were used in those elections also. Why Naqvi did not raised this issue at that time. People of this country are not that fools to buy his story.
It is time for BJP to re-think on its programme, policies, ideology and strategy if it wants stay as an alternative to the Congress party.
The reaction of Abbas Naqvi, senior leader of BJP to the out come of results of assembly results of the three states terming EVMs as electronic victory machines for Congress is unfortunate. It appears that statement has come out of sheer frustration. The BJP, as expected had fared very badly in the election because of loss of image at the national level, infighting and lack of leadership at state level. Instead of accepting the defeat gracefully and introspect on the same our BJP leader has chosen the blame the EVMs.Modi in Gujarat, Chauvan in M P and B S Yediyurappa in Karnataka all rode back to power and the same EVMs were used in those elections also. Why Naqvi did not raised this issue at that time. People of this country are not that fools to buy his story.
It is time for BJP to re-think on its programme, policies, ideology and strategy if it wants stay as an alternative to the Congress party.
Wednesday, October 21, 2009
POSER TO AMBANIS
The fighting between Ambani brothers has been termed by the country’s apex court as countries at war. Here is a poser to Ambanis – Had there been no split in the family, whether Mukesh’s RIL still had taken the same decision of increasing the gas price from $ 2.34 per mmbtu to $ 4.20 per mmbtu for supply of gas to RNRL and whether Anil would have opposed the move as he has done now. The answer to both, probably – no. Then what is that they are fighting. Their respective counsels should enlighten the public and the share holders of the above companies in this regard.
IT HAPPENS ….. SOMETIMES
The detention of Parvez Rasool, cricketer from J and K by Bengaluru city police has made out as over-zealousness and incompetence. (DNA 21-10-09 Nano edit - Not cricket at all) The track records of Bengaluru police in nabbing terrorists are excellent. The integrity, sincerity and efficiency of the police force, particularly the present police commissioner Shankar Bidri can not be questioned. It happened because of faulty functioning of the machine or just human failure. There are thousands and thousands of Kashmiris living in the city of Bengaluru and they are not subjected to this kind of detention. Security is a serious issue, and such thing happens in routine check –up and it can happen to any one. One should not read too much into it and blame the entire force as incompetent.
PREVENTIVE ACTION NEEDED
The crime branch of Mumbai police should be congratulated for nabbing M Y Kadam and D Tulaskar who are accused of duping more than 2000 investors of Rs 6 crore plus. ( Duo dupes 2000 investors DNA 21-10-09). Public also should be careful in making investment in ventures that offers very high returns. There are no legally sustainable business models where one can double his investment in just 30 days. If there is one, the promoters will not offer that business model to others. They themselves will invest all the money they can and expand/improve their wealth. Public should check the credentials of such promoters before investing. The crime branch should keep an eye the fraudsters who regularly advertise in leading news papers of such schemes. Prevention is better than the cure. They may take assistance from retired Police/CBI/Bank officials/others to strengthen their net work.
Tuesday, October 20, 2009
MOVE IN THE RIGHT DIRECTION
The HRD minister’s proposal to raise the eligibility bar for the Joint Entrance Examination (JEE) is a move in the right direction. (DNA 20-10-09). The students with only aim of securing a better rank in the entrance examinations are neglecting the regular studies and concentrating more on coaching classes. Through this mad coaching class culture students are more interested in JEE ranking than acquiring knowledge in the chosen subjects, since the syllabus of the coaching classes are designed in that manner. More over, only the students from affluent families are benefited from this culture, because of their ability to pay, to the disadvantage of the students from poor/middle class back ground. This proposal to some extent put an end to that dis parity. It is also alleged that some students bunk the classes for the whole year and camp in the so called Mecca of coaching classes (Kota in Rajasthan etc). The get proxy attendance in connivance with school management. The HRD ministry should also look in to this matter, since this gives some students un due advantage in the JEE.
Sunday, October 18, 2009
WRONG ASSESSMENT
In the article’ No election is an echo of the past’ by M J Akbar,(TOI 18-10-09)that the vote share of ‘others’ shall be around 26%, based on the voting pattern in the general election in May -09,adding Republicans share of votes to ‘others’ kitty, since they are out NCP-Congress alliance,may be wrong. Assembly elections are fought on different issues and many local factors play a major role in election of candidates. The Madhu Limaye theory that political party began to convert votes into seats at geometrical progression only after its base crosses 23% share does not hold good others (Independents and smaller parties). According to that theory others should get around 75 seats. Most un likely. Percentage votes polled, directly does convert into seats even for major political parties.
Friday, October 16, 2009
DOES IT MAKE ANY DIFFERENCE?
The news of Ambani brothers taking salary cut appears in all leading dailies as head line. (Mukesh Ambani takes Rs 29cr salary cut - DNA 16-10-09). Does it makes any difference to their life style nor contributes more to the exchequer? It does not. Then what is the big deal that is making the head lines. Apart from salary income, they get commission on company’s profit, income from investment made in various projects. More over all their expense are taken care by flagship companies by virtue of them being CEOs. Then what is that they are sacrifing to show solidarity with the people who are affected by draught. If they are really concerned, they should contribute a few hundred crores of their personal wealth to PM relief fund.
Thursday, October 15, 2009
TN GOVT SHOULD ACT TOUGH
The attacks on Dalits who were trying to enter a temple in Nagapattinam district by non-dalits calls for severest punishment as per law. (TOI 15-10-09) The act is barbaric and un-civilized. These kinds of incidents make dalits to take extreme steps like conversions and moving towards Maoism as they are rejected by the people of their own religion. The TN government should book cases against the accused. The temples all over the state should instructed for allowing dalits to enter the same without any discriminations and fear. We should try to build a casteless society and not caste conflict society. The Center and the State government should enact law making it mandatory for temple management to have at least two dalits as priests in every temple. Tough call. But urgently required.
WSATE OF MONEY
The AP health minister and Greater Hyderabad Congress Committee president Danam Nagender’s announcement that at least 30 statue of YSR will be installed in Greater Hyderabad area is waste of public money. (TOI 15-10-09). Congress party accuses Mayavati for trying to install memorials of late Kanshiram, the BSP symbol and statue of Mayavati herself in UP and the matter is before the Supreme Court. In A P the same funds can be better utilized for building schools and hospitals in the same locality. Congress high command should interfere in the matter and should stop these acts of sycophancy.
Wednesday, October 14, 2009
CHINA SHOULD MIND ITS OWN BUSINESS
The protest by China against Prime Minister Man Mohan Singh recent visit to Arunachal Pradesh is un warranted. (China protests against PM’s Arunachal visit DNA 14-10-09). Arunachal Pradesh is integral part of India and China is making un-necessary provocation in this regard. India is not Tibet to be bullied around. Instead of raking this kind un-wanted issue, China should try to further improve the relationship with India based on trust. China should not spoil the relationship built over so many years in its own interest lest the bilateral trade and commerce will work against to its dis-advantage. And India will have to re look at its foreign policy towards China.
Tuesday, October 13, 2009
SEVEN FINANCIAL WONDERS OF MODERN INDIA
1. M S SHOES SCAM.
2. HARSHAD MEHTHA'S MEGHA MARKET SCAM.
3. KETAN PAREKH STOCK MARKET MANIPULATION.
4.PENTA FOUR, DSQ GROUP OF COMPANIES SWINDLING THE PUBLIC MONEY.
5. C R B CAPITAL MARKETS ACT OF DEFRAUDING SMALL DEPOSITORS.
6. GLOBE TRUST BANK-THE ACT OF DISAPPEARING.
7. RAMALINGARAJU'S SATYAM SCAM.
2. HARSHAD MEHTHA'S MEGHA MARKET SCAM.
3. KETAN PAREKH STOCK MARKET MANIPULATION.
4.PENTA FOUR, DSQ GROUP OF COMPANIES SWINDLING THE PUBLIC MONEY.
5. C R B CAPITAL MARKETS ACT OF DEFRAUDING SMALL DEPOSITORS.
6. GLOBE TRUST BANK-THE ACT OF DISAPPEARING.
7. RAMALINGARAJU'S SATYAM SCAM.
BAD CORPORATE GOVERNANCE
The special auditors appointed by DOT to look into the alleged evasion of licence fees and inflation of revenue and other irregularities have pointed out the glaring mistakes committed by the country’s number one telecom player. (DNA money 13-10-09). Anil Ambani is on war path with Reliance industries limited for alleged breach of contract, bad corporate governance and greediness. As expected the response from Rcom was, we are yet to receive the report and there are no irregularities or fudging of accounts. There can not be smoke without fire. And if probed further, they may come with the explanation that they did it for the benefit of the share holders. For some, corporate governance is simply on paper or talking point.
Sunday, October 11, 2009
DIFFICULT ROAD AHEAD
APPEARED IN INDIA FORBES MAGAZINE ON 06-NOV -09 ISSUE UNDER THE CAPTION -RETAIL THERAPY.
The story of world’s biggest retailer Walmart is very interesting. (India Forbes -Walmart passage to India Oct 23 -09). However, Walmart has had very little or no success out side the US. The regulatory support that exists in US is non-existent out side the US for various political and economical reasons. The infrastructure, the efficient supply chain management, the logistic support that it has built over the decades in US and most importantly the mad consumerism in US has largely contributed to the success story. Again these are non-existent in our country. The back bone of Indian retail business is credit. Being a poor cum developing economy, the poor and the middle class contributes significantly to the retail business volume. The purchasing power of consumers in this segment is very low and limited. Hence, credit plays a major role in volume business. The local kirana stores have advantage over the big players as they offer credit to selected customers. And similarly the kirana stores enjoy credit facilities from wholesalers and distributors. The easy accessibility to kirana stores is another plus point compared to the players like Walmart which are normally located in out skirts of the cities where in the people residing in that particular area can access such sores making it difficult to reach more consumers. Walmart is a volume player. The kind of regulation, the infrastructure, the logistics and the purchasing power the urban poor and middle class have in India makes the road ahead for Walmart a difficult one.
The story of world’s biggest retailer Walmart is very interesting. (India Forbes -Walmart passage to India Oct 23 -09). However, Walmart has had very little or no success out side the US. The regulatory support that exists in US is non-existent out side the US for various political and economical reasons. The infrastructure, the efficient supply chain management, the logistic support that it has built over the decades in US and most importantly the mad consumerism in US has largely contributed to the success story. Again these are non-existent in our country. The back bone of Indian retail business is credit. Being a poor cum developing economy, the poor and the middle class contributes significantly to the retail business volume. The purchasing power of consumers in this segment is very low and limited. Hence, credit plays a major role in volume business. The local kirana stores have advantage over the big players as they offer credit to selected customers. And similarly the kirana stores enjoy credit facilities from wholesalers and distributors. The easy accessibility to kirana stores is another plus point compared to the players like Walmart which are normally located in out skirts of the cities where in the people residing in that particular area can access such sores making it difficult to reach more consumers. Walmart is a volume player. The kind of regulation, the infrastructure, the logistics and the purchasing power the urban poor and middle class have in India makes the road ahead for Walmart a difficult one.
Thursday, October 8, 2009
SHUN VIOLENCE
The brutal killing of Jarkhand Police inspector Francis Induwar by Maoists deserves condemnation by all. (Brute Maoists invite early action DNA 08-10-09).If the Maoists are serious about finding solutions to the problems that are faced by the tribals through out the country, they should join the mainstream politics and put forth their ideology and solution they have to solve perennial problems instead of fighting like a coward. These cowardly acts will not help any way in mitigating the problems. Maoists/Naxalites should fight for their causes through peace full means. They will not be able to achieve even one percent of their goal with these kinds of heinous acts even if they fight for one thousand years. LTTE, the most dreaded and feared organization could not achieve anything for its Tamil population by violent means in a tiny country like Srilankha. There are lessons to be learnt from the collapse of LTTE in Srilankha. The present day government at the Center and at state level has shown considerable interest in finding peaceful solutions that are engulfed the tribals in the country. It is only through negotiation the problems can be solved to the satisfaction of both the sides. It is not too late for Maoists to come and join the mainstream and have talks with the respective governments.
Wednesday, October 7, 2009
NATIONAL SHAME
APPEARED IN DNA ON 08-10-09 UNDER THE CAPTION SHABBY - TREATMENT
The treatment meted out to P T Usha, the greatest athletes of our time, at Bhopal is national shame. (DNA I was forced to beg 07-10-09). The officials promptly bruised the issue as a result of a ‘lack of communication’. It is not the lack communication it is the lack of understanding and commitment towards sports administration. P T Usha’s contribution to sports is no less than that of top cricketers of that time. However, in our country only the cricket gets more attention than it deserves and other sports are neglected. It is time that the sports administrators change their attitude and administrator the sports in a professional way as done in most developed countries. This kind of incidents dampens the spirit of young athletes for whom P T Usha is iconic personality. Our sprint queen and golden girl of yester year deserve to be congratulated for exposing the shabby and careless attitude of sports administrators. Long live cricket.
The treatment meted out to P T Usha, the greatest athletes of our time, at Bhopal is national shame. (DNA I was forced to beg 07-10-09). The officials promptly bruised the issue as a result of a ‘lack of communication’. It is not the lack communication it is the lack of understanding and commitment towards sports administration. P T Usha’s contribution to sports is no less than that of top cricketers of that time. However, in our country only the cricket gets more attention than it deserves and other sports are neglected. It is time that the sports administrators change their attitude and administrator the sports in a professional way as done in most developed countries. This kind of incidents dampens the spirit of young athletes for whom P T Usha is iconic personality. Our sprint queen and golden girl of yester year deserve to be congratulated for exposing the shabby and careless attitude of sports administrators. Long live cricket.
Tuesday, October 6, 2009
MAYA SHOULD DISPLAY SOME MATURITY
The on going tussle between the country’s apex court and UP government over the construction of memorials amounting to Rs 2600.00 crores and violation of apex court order by Ms Mayavati makes mockery of our legal and political system. Mayavati who has seen many ups and downs in her political career is aware that power is not permanent and only good the governance brings her back to power and not memorials. The same amount could have been better utilized for various developmental projects in one the country’ biggest and poorest state. And she should not tag dalit card to every thing.
IPO WATCH: INDIA BULLS POWER LIMITED
The Issue : INDIA BULLS POWER LIMITED proposes to issue 33,98,00,000 shares of Rs 10/ each with a green shoe option of 5,09,00,000 aggregating to 39,07,00,000 in the price band of Rs 40 -45 . The company intends to garner around Rs 1700 cores from the issue. The issue is slated to open on 12-10 -09.
Promoters: The project is promoted by IBREL. Foreign investors FIM limited and LMN India internet ventures limited hold17.9 and 10.7 percent respectively.
The project: To set up power generating units with a total capacity of 6600 MW in different states. Although 16 Banks /institutions have committed funds to the extent of Rs 6,525.00 crores for the project, no Bank or Institution has independently appraised the project.
Industry/Competition: Highly competitive capital intensive industry. The promoters have no experience in the power generation business.
Other points to note: The Company is yet to obtain some clearances. For Chattisgarh project the land is yet to be acquired. First unit to be commissioned in June 2012. Heavily indebted company. The promoters have acquired 118, 50, 00,000 shares at an average cost of Rs 5/.
IPO grading: The rating agency CRISIL has assigned Grade 3 indicating average fundamentals.
The company has no business track record. Hence share premium of Rs30-35/ is not justified.
Recommendations: Considering the inexperience of the promoters, long gestation period and heavy indebtedness, investors may avoid subscription.
Promoters: The project is promoted by IBREL. Foreign investors FIM limited and LMN India internet ventures limited hold17.9 and 10.7 percent respectively.
The project: To set up power generating units with a total capacity of 6600 MW in different states. Although 16 Banks /institutions have committed funds to the extent of Rs 6,525.00 crores for the project, no Bank or Institution has independently appraised the project.
Industry/Competition: Highly competitive capital intensive industry. The promoters have no experience in the power generation business.
Other points to note: The Company is yet to obtain some clearances. For Chattisgarh project the land is yet to be acquired. First unit to be commissioned in June 2012. Heavily indebted company. The promoters have acquired 118, 50, 00,000 shares at an average cost of Rs 5/.
IPO grading: The rating agency CRISIL has assigned Grade 3 indicating average fundamentals.
The company has no business track record. Hence share premium of Rs30-35/ is not justified.
Recommendations: Considering the inexperience of the promoters, long gestation period and heavy indebtedness, investors may avoid subscription.
Monday, October 5, 2009
FUND MANAGERS SHOULD TAKE CUE FROM OUR POLITICIANS
The declared assets our politicians has shown substantial growth in 2009 compared to their assets in 2004. (Pawar lead charge in political family wealth DNA 05-10-09). It makes our business men and industrialists ponder over their ability to create and manage wealth. The assets of our politicians have shown substantial growth in spite of recession in the economy, needs to be specially appreciated. Our fund managers should take lessons from our politicians how to increase the wealth irrespective of GDP growth and market conditions. Our politicians declared aim is to work for the poor, down trodden, weaker and other un fortunate sections of the society. However our poor voters continues to be at what they were many years ago, where as their netas have become the wealthiest and still they proclaim that their entire life is dedicated for the up- liftment of the poorest of the poor. Long live our democracy and our politicians.
Friday, October 2, 2009
JAGAN WAS NEVER AT THE BUS STOP
The article by K V Ramana that Jaganmohan might have missed the C M bus has no reasoning. You will miss the bus only if you are at the bus stop. Jagan was never at the bus stop. Neither has he had the proven track record nor the experience to occupy the highest post. Some loyalists and sycophants wanted him to be the C M to implement their hidden agenda through an inexperienced person. Being a CM’s son does not mean, that you will be made CM on some happenings. The death of YSR has crated a vacuum in the state and the Congress high command has rightly chosen the experienced Rosaiah to the CM’ post. Jagan is still young and should work for the party and prove his mettle before aspiring for the coveted post.
UN WISE MOVE
The Brihanmumbai Electric Supply and Transport (BEST) move to name Bus stops to the highest bidder is an unwise move. (DNA 02-10-09) The roads, parks and other places, which frequently used by the public are to named with famous personalities who have scarified/contributed immensely to the society in their chosen field in recognition of their contribution. Any person who has ill gotten money will bid for the bus stops to be named after him/her and get un deserved recognition/attention. These persons even may try to shore up their credibility boasting that the BEST has named bus stops after them and take un due advantage in the society. The money BEST is expecting from such project is mere Rs 100 crore which is pittance compared to the annual revenue generated by the BEST. The move should be abandoned as it un wise.
Thursday, October 1, 2009
MNS WILL EMERGE STRONGER
Interesting analysis of forthcoming assembly election of Maharstra by R.Jaganathan. (DNA Tiger Tales - 01-10-09) Although the performance of the DF government is lack luster, these combinations, again may come back to power on TINA factor. The BJP in the state is rudderless, Shiv Sena is steadily losing grounds because of split and infighting. The so called Third Front is a non starter. The MNS is making strong in roads into erstwhile Sena bastons. The Center’s rural unemployment guarantee scheme, farmers’ loan waiver and other initiatives taken in the field of education, rural health services will fetch substantial votes to Congress-NCP combine. The young voters who constitute nearly 70% of the total voters are interested youth leadership. Here, the Congress (Rahul Gandhi) and MNS has the advantage compared to the other parties. In the changed scenario the MNS will emerge stronger and even may play the role of king maker in the unlikely event of a hung assembly.
Wednesday, September 30, 2009
GOVT. SHOULD REMAIN IN AVIATION BUSINESS
In the editorial ‘Air pocket again’ (DNA 30-09-09) the reason for the present day status of our premier air line has been rightly analyzed. Decades of mis/inefficient management of the airline has brought the Maharaja to what it is today. Ill-advised merger, unplanned expansion and bad financial management have put the Air India in ICU and not the competition. SBI and other public sector banks have set an excellent example that in spite of severe competition from new generation private banks and aggressive foreign banks, they can do business better than the competitors, if you know how to manage. The government should revamp the board and undertake a major surgery on its internal functioning. The employees in their own interest should cooperate with the management and agree for some sacrifice during this turbulent period, until such time the Maharaja starts making profit. When it comes to taking the commuters for a ride, the private airlines are no better, as we have witnessed recently. If the only public sector player in the aviation business ceases to be the player, in the very first day itself the private airlines will form a cartel and exploit the situation to the disadvantages to the commuters.
HERCULEAN TASK
The Center’s mega plan of making India slum-free country in the next five years is appears to be a very toll order. (DNA 30-09-09). This Herculean task requires sincere efforts by both the Center and the respective governments. The Center should enact laws in such a way, that only the government agencies be it either Central or State are the only permitted nodal agency for such rehabilitation schemes and no builder/middlemen should be entrusted with such assignments as is being practiced by some state governments in the country. In the name of slum development these builders make lot of money for themselves. Government should also build schools and hospitals in the same locality for the benefit of the local population including the rehabilitee slum dwellers.
Tuesday, September 29, 2009
ALL ABOUT RELATIONSHIP BANKING
The news, that ICICI bank will block all cards issued by it to a customer if he/she defaults on any one of them appears to be very harsh and un-relationship banking. (TOI 29-09-09) The bank official has quoted the practice in the west, particularly in United States. The procedures followed in US for issuing credit cards are different from what the card issuers follow here. What is good for US is not necessarily good for India. There fore ICICI BANK should go to the root of the problem. Credit card defaults are directly proportionate to the misplaced aggressiveness the issuers adopt while issuing cards to its customers. Card defaults are more with banks like ICICI and other foreign banks that are aggressive and interested in growth percentage of card business. These banks issues cards through third party arrangements, the so called DSAs. The DSAs are interested in generating revenue for themselves. To shore up the numbers they some time suppress the vital credit information/ submit fudged documents to the card issuing banks. The end result is undeserving getting the card and misusing the same. In a country like ours there are occasions even the highest rated customer of the bank may defer/delay/default payment for reasons beyond his control. Generalising the rules for one and all will affect the credibility and reliability of the bank. ICICI bank, in spite of in the business for very long time has not learnt that banking is not only about money but it is also on how you manage the relationship with the customers. It is too not late to withdraw the draconian guidelines.
Monday, September 28, 2009
LESS FII INVESTMENT IS BETTER FOR STOCK MARKET
APPEARED IN DNA BOMBAY ON 30-09-09 UNDER THE CAPTION MARKET MANIPULATION
R. jaganathan views on ‘Why India may get lucky once again’ was excellent. (DNA 28-09-09).However certain points are overemphasized. The markets movements are although an indicator of the health of the economy and confident booster for potential investors - both local and foreign, the stock indices are some times misleading and confusing. We have seen how one Harshad or Ketan can take the markets to dizzy heights by pure manipulation. Because of slow down in US and European economies, FIIs may prefer to invest in the emerging economies like India, China and Brazil. But, for a country like ours too much FII investments in stock market is fraught with danger. Our stock market /small investors are not matured enough. When FIIs start investing heavily in markets here the indices goes over the roof, the small investors being caught unaware. During the buoyancy without understanding the dynamics of the markets they make investments and soon they realize that they have entered the market at the wrong time because the so called FIIs who were responsible for the indices to hit the highest point, start withdrawing/selling their investments, once their desired percentage of return on investments are achieved leaving the small investors in the lurch. (FIIs are not charitable institutions who help small investors to lead a comfortable life). Once the small investors’ confidence is shattered no market will hold for long time. And we will be back to square one.
R. jaganathan views on ‘Why India may get lucky once again’ was excellent. (DNA 28-09-09).However certain points are overemphasized. The markets movements are although an indicator of the health of the economy and confident booster for potential investors - both local and foreign, the stock indices are some times misleading and confusing. We have seen how one Harshad or Ketan can take the markets to dizzy heights by pure manipulation. Because of slow down in US and European economies, FIIs may prefer to invest in the emerging economies like India, China and Brazil. But, for a country like ours too much FII investments in stock market is fraught with danger. Our stock market /small investors are not matured enough. When FIIs start investing heavily in markets here the indices goes over the roof, the small investors being caught unaware. During the buoyancy without understanding the dynamics of the markets they make investments and soon they realize that they have entered the market at the wrong time because the so called FIIs who were responsible for the indices to hit the highest point, start withdrawing/selling their investments, once their desired percentage of return on investments are achieved leaving the small investors in the lurch. (FIIs are not charitable institutions who help small investors to lead a comfortable life). Once the small investors’ confidence is shattered no market will hold for long time. And we will be back to square one.
MULTIPOLAR WORLD: BAISED VIEWS
The views expressed by NiIotpal Bose, member CPM politburo that the fears about China’s incursions into India are both misplaced and misguided are biased. (DNA 28-09-09). China is not a country of Saints. Basu quotes of America’s invasion of Iraq and Afghanistan. But there is no mention of China’s invasion of Tibet in1960s and torturing of the innocent native Tibetans which even now continue against those who oppose its authority. They refuse to have any dialogue with their spiritual leader H H Dalai Lama and spy his movements with hawks’ eye. There are reports of China discreetly helping PAK in building its nuclear capability. In UN, it supports PAK, our historical enemy with its Veto power. With all these so very evident, our CPM leader wants us to trust China on border disputes.
HALF- BAKED MIND SET
The assertion of PAK external affairs minister Shah Mehmood Quershi in New York that the proof provided by the Indian Government on 26/11 attackers are half-baked is ludicrous. (DNA 27-09-09). And because of this, they are unable to prosecute the culprits. The Indian government has provided more than required proof against the perpetrators of Mumbai attack. PAK is simply not interested in taking action against the offenders for the reasons best known to them. The proof provided by India is not half-baked it is the mind set of the Establishment in PAK is half-baked. On one pretext or the other the PAK is delaying taking actions on the terrorists who attacked Mumbai. Assuming for a moment that the proof provided by the Indian government is half-baked, the request for action is made by the largest democracy in the world, supported by the mightiest countries (other than China, for obvious reasons) of the world. Any right thinking and responsive government would have taken action barely on the request made without going into the details of so called proof. But our good neighbor does not do that. This gives reasons suspect whether such heinous acts were carried out with the tacit understanding and the support of the establishment there. Only time will reveal the ‘true’ intentions of PAK in its role in curbing the terrorists activities on its soil or otherwise.
Wednesday, September 23, 2009
FIGHTING CORRUPTION: WHO WILL BELL THE CAT
The former CBI director R K Raghavan views on corruption in public life are well thought out. (DNA 23-09-09). There is urgent need to change the laws regarding obtention of requisite permission for registering cases when the corrupt babus are caught pants down. But the basic question is why our babus and other public servants are corrupt?
Apart from comparatively not so attractive salaries, what makes them to indulge in corruption? Our political bosses. Our babus and other government servants know the many corrupt ways of our politicians’ right from fighting election to the seat of power. They are just following their leaders. So the fight against corruption should start from the cleansing the political system. The Prevention of Corruption Act 1988, even if it is amended with suitable clauses as desired by the experts will not bring the desired results in fight against corruption, unless our political leaders are honest. Then, who will the cat?
Apart from comparatively not so attractive salaries, what makes them to indulge in corruption? Our political bosses. Our babus and other government servants know the many corrupt ways of our politicians’ right from fighting election to the seat of power. They are just following their leaders. So the fight against corruption should start from the cleansing the political system. The Prevention of Corruption Act 1988, even if it is amended with suitable clauses as desired by the experts will not bring the desired results in fight against corruption, unless our political leaders are honest. Then, who will the cat?
Saturday, September 19, 2009
IPO WATCH: THINKSOFT GLOBAL SERVICES LIMITED: OVER PRICED
The Chennai-based Think soft Global Services, a financial software testing company, is entering the capital market with an initial public offering of 36.46 lakh shares. The issue will open on September 22 and will close on September 24. The price band has been fixed at Rs 120-130 per share.
The IPO will consist of a fresh issue of 13.5 lakh fresh issue of equity shares and offer for sale of 22, 96,000 shares.
The company is promoted by Mr. Asvini Kumar; Ms Vanaja Anand and Mr. Mohan Parvatikar.The Company has consistent performance in the last 5 years both in terms of revenue generation, profitability and dividend payment.
The proposed activities are not appraised by any Bank/Financial Institutions. In fact there are no definite projects. It appears the main object of the issue is to provide an exit route to certain investors.
The company is Banking Financial Services and Insurance (BFSI) focused software testing enterprise. Highly competitive segment. Success depends on retention of key employees.
IPO GRADING: CARE has assigned grade 2 indicating below average fundamentals.
The issue is grossly over priced. AVOID SUBSRIPTION.
The IPO will consist of a fresh issue of 13.5 lakh fresh issue of equity shares and offer for sale of 22, 96,000 shares.
The company is promoted by Mr. Asvini Kumar; Ms Vanaja Anand and Mr. Mohan Parvatikar.The Company has consistent performance in the last 5 years both in terms of revenue generation, profitability and dividend payment.
The proposed activities are not appraised by any Bank/Financial Institutions. In fact there are no definite projects. It appears the main object of the issue is to provide an exit route to certain investors.
The company is Banking Financial Services and Insurance (BFSI) focused software testing enterprise. Highly competitive segment. Success depends on retention of key employees.
IPO GRADING: CARE has assigned grade 2 indicating below average fundamentals.
The issue is grossly over priced. AVOID SUBSRIPTION.
Friday, September 18, 2009
IPO WATCH: EURO MULTI VISION LIMITED
The Gujarat based Euro Multivision Limited, proposes to issue 88 lakh equity shares in the price band of Rs70 -75. The object of the issue is to part finance the Photovoltaic Solar cell manufacturing unit. The issue is slated to open on Sep-22 and closes on September 24.
PROMOTERS: Promoted by Nenshi Shah and associates who are into manufacture of ceramic tiles under the brand name ‘EURO’. There are number of cases pending against the promoter/group in respect of IT/Customs litigations amounting to Rs 38.37 crores.
PROJECT/ PRODUCT: The Company proposes to set-up P V cell unit, which is a new segment for the promoters. The appraisal of the project has been done SBI in Dec 2007.It is almost two years from the date of the appraisal. Originally the trail production was to commence from Oct -2008.There is delay in project execution. The company is yet to obtain some statutory approvals from the appropriate authorities.
The project has been appraised by SBI which has extended term loan of Rs80.00 crore. However, the bank is not managing the Public issue and the bank is not even bankers to the issue.
FINANCIALS: The net profit margin from the exisisting activity – Compact Disc Recordables and Digital Versatile Disc Recordable has taken a severe beating in the year 2009 compared to the previous year. Raw materials consumption which was around 50% of sales in 2008 has gone beyond 60% in 2009. The group’s listed company - Euro Ceramics Limited whose book value is more than Rs 100.00 is languishing at less than half its book value in the stock exchanges.
IPO GRADING: The rating agency CARE has assigned Grade 3 indicating average fundamentals.
CONCLUSION: The promoters have no experience in the chosen line. There is delay in implementing the project. Financials are not sound. Promoters’ contribution to share capital is at par. The issue is very aggressively priced. Avoid subscription.
PROMOTERS: Promoted by Nenshi Shah and associates who are into manufacture of ceramic tiles under the brand name ‘EURO’. There are number of cases pending against the promoter/group in respect of IT/Customs litigations amounting to Rs 38.37 crores.
PROJECT/ PRODUCT: The Company proposes to set-up P V cell unit, which is a new segment for the promoters. The appraisal of the project has been done SBI in Dec 2007.It is almost two years from the date of the appraisal. Originally the trail production was to commence from Oct -2008.There is delay in project execution. The company is yet to obtain some statutory approvals from the appropriate authorities.
The project has been appraised by SBI which has extended term loan of Rs80.00 crore. However, the bank is not managing the Public issue and the bank is not even bankers to the issue.
FINANCIALS: The net profit margin from the exisisting activity – Compact Disc Recordables and Digital Versatile Disc Recordable has taken a severe beating in the year 2009 compared to the previous year. Raw materials consumption which was around 50% of sales in 2008 has gone beyond 60% in 2009. The group’s listed company - Euro Ceramics Limited whose book value is more than Rs 100.00 is languishing at less than half its book value in the stock exchanges.
IPO GRADING: The rating agency CARE has assigned Grade 3 indicating average fundamentals.
CONCLUSION: The promoters have no experience in the chosen line. There is delay in implementing the project. Financials are not sound. Promoters’ contribution to share capital is at par. The issue is very aggressively priced. Avoid subscription.
DONOT MIX POLITICS AND RELIGION
The call by the Ganivarya Nai Padmasagarji Maharaj, the Jain Swamiji that the community should avoid rivals and vote in en masse in fauvor of Community candidate irrespective of party affiliation and candidates credentials was baffling.
Religion and politics should not be mixed and that too Sadhus should not seek vote on the basis of religion. Sadhus and Swamijis, irrespective of the community they belong are highly respected in our country. Swamijis and Sadhus have well defined roles to play for the welfare of all citizens irrespective of which community they represents. Of late religion and politics are inter-mixed and many religious heads are directly supporting consolidation of votes in fauvor of their community. This is a dangerous trend for country like ours. People should discourage this trend lest it may lead to creation of communal disharmony at a later stage. Suryodayasagar Suriswar Maharaj, a sadhu, has rightly commented that the party does not matter. One who favours non-violence and respects life will get their support.
Religion and politics should not be mixed and that too Sadhus should not seek vote on the basis of religion. Sadhus and Swamijis, irrespective of the community they belong are highly respected in our country. Swamijis and Sadhus have well defined roles to play for the welfare of all citizens irrespective of which community they represents. Of late religion and politics are inter-mixed and many religious heads are directly supporting consolidation of votes in fauvor of their community. This is a dangerous trend for country like ours. People should discourage this trend lest it may lead to creation of communal disharmony at a later stage. Suryodayasagar Suriswar Maharaj, a sadhu, has rightly commented that the party does not matter. One who favours non-violence and respects life will get their support.
Wednesday, September 16, 2009
DANGEROUS PROPOSITION
While speaking at Parsi cyclists club, the 75 year-old former India skipper expressed his displeasure in changed priorities of parsi youth and decline of ‘parsi’ cricket. (DNA 16-09-09 Nari rues decline of Parsi cricket).There is nothing like Paris cricket nor Hindu, Muslim cricket. In our country cricket has no religion. Promotion of sports in the name of religion is not good for a diverse country like ours.
Tuesday, September 15, 2009
LESSONS FROM LEHMAN: REGULATORY FAILURE
The article by John Reid, member of British parliament, on the failure of Lehman Brothers suggests that transparency is the answer if the world is to avoid shocks in the future. (DNA 15-09-09).Although non-transparency contributed for the collapse of the behemoth the lack of supervisory control from the regulators is the main cause for collapse of Lehman and other financial institutions in west and particularly in United States. It became the order of the day to blame the economic slow down and recession for bank failures. However a deeper analysis indicate that the economic slow down, depression, recession, inflation, growth, stagnation and deflation are all part of the business cycle that occurs at irregular intervals depending upon a multitude of factors including the various policies pursed by the governments and the world economy. This kind of situation had happened earlier and will happen in future also.
The present situation of a global economic crisis is itself triggered by the bank failures which are man made as a result of indiscretions of the US banking system and the lack of supervisory controls by the regulator, namely, Federal Reserve. Stringent regulatory measures and proactive supervisory review process, especially when the banks were following the economic capital model of BASEL II guidelines for maintaining capital adequacy has resulted in the crisis. It looks like the US has lot to learn from the Indian regulators, the Reserve Bank of India, who didn’t buckle down at any point of time, be it the dictates of the IMF or the developed economies. This is seen clearly by how India has at all times controlled its economy by avoiding such disaster, as compared to other Asian countries who had opened up their economies by allowing capital account convertibility , thus becoming sitting ducks to the vagaries and whims of the capitalists from developed economies. The cautious approach of the RBI and the watch dog attitude of this strong supervisor have kept Indian banks out of such disasters and the Fed has a lot to learn from its counter part in India how to supervise the banks in the changed circumstances.
The present situation of a global economic crisis is itself triggered by the bank failures which are man made as a result of indiscretions of the US banking system and the lack of supervisory controls by the regulator, namely, Federal Reserve. Stringent regulatory measures and proactive supervisory review process, especially when the banks were following the economic capital model of BASEL II guidelines for maintaining capital adequacy has resulted in the crisis. It looks like the US has lot to learn from the Indian regulators, the Reserve Bank of India, who didn’t buckle down at any point of time, be it the dictates of the IMF or the developed economies. This is seen clearly by how India has at all times controlled its economy by avoiding such disaster, as compared to other Asian countries who had opened up their economies by allowing capital account convertibility , thus becoming sitting ducks to the vagaries and whims of the capitalists from developed economies. The cautious approach of the RBI and the watch dog attitude of this strong supervisor have kept Indian banks out of such disasters and the Fed has a lot to learn from its counter part in India how to supervise the banks in the changed circumstances.
VOTERS ARE NOT CONFUSED
APPEARED IN DNA NEWS PAPER, MUMBAI EDITION, 0N 16-09-09 - CAPTIONED AS VOTER KNOWS
The views expressed by Ms Ranjona Banerji (Second Serve DNA 15-09-09) that voters are confused to who to vote in the forthcoming Maharastra assembly scheduled in the month of Oct-09 was interesting. However, the days getting elected solely on the basis of caste, creed, religion and party are gone. We have seen that in the previous elections, be it to LS or state assembly elections. Mr. Modi in Gujarat, Mr. Chauvan in M P, Mr. Raman Singh in Chattis garh and YSR in AP have rode back to power because of their performance in their previous term in their respective states. The present day voters- nearly 70% of them are below the age of 35 years and are well informed about the development work undertaken by their elected representative. If the performance is good the representative has fair chance of making it again to the assembly. Voter has only one slogan perform or perish. So the writing on the wall is very clear for the sitting MLAs.
The views expressed by Ms Ranjona Banerji (Second Serve DNA 15-09-09) that voters are confused to who to vote in the forthcoming Maharastra assembly scheduled in the month of Oct-09 was interesting. However, the days getting elected solely on the basis of caste, creed, religion and party are gone. We have seen that in the previous elections, be it to LS or state assembly elections. Mr. Modi in Gujarat, Mr. Chauvan in M P, Mr. Raman Singh in Chattis garh and YSR in AP have rode back to power because of their performance in their previous term in their respective states. The present day voters- nearly 70% of them are below the age of 35 years and are well informed about the development work undertaken by their elected representative. If the performance is good the representative has fair chance of making it again to the assembly. Voter has only one slogan perform or perish. So the writing on the wall is very clear for the sitting MLAs.
OTHER SCHOOLS SHOULD FOLLOW THE SUIT
The Dadar Parsi Colony school has voluntarily has reduced the tuition fees. (DNA 15-09-09) Education has become a very lucrative business right from pre-nursery to professional courses. We are a country in which more than 90% of the population is either poor or middle class who can't afford astronomical amount of fees and donation to get quality education. The government should enact laws in such a way that only the credible NGOs are permitted to run educational institution without any profit motive. Others schools in the city should reduce the fees and follow the good example set by the Parsi school.
Monday, September 14, 2009
AUSTERITY DRIVE:MORE ACTION NEEDED
The ruling UPA at the Center has advised its ministers to exercise great caution in their spending on hotel and travel bills in view of prevailing draught situation in many parts of the country(TOI 14-09-09). The money so saved is nothing compared to our developmental and non developmental expenditure per annum. But, that is an indication of the mind set of the people at the helm of affairs and how serious the government in providing much needed relief to the needy farmers. The paradox of our democracy is that the representatives of the people are very rich and the voters are very poor. Look at the assets declared by the LS seats aspirants before the election. Details are with the Election Commission. The asset owned by them ranges from minimum of Rs 3 crores to Rs 700.00 crores. We are talking of only what is declared. If the politicians/political parties are genuinely interested in the pathetic conditions of our farmers, why can not they donate 10% of their declared wealth to National Disaster Management Fund to be administered by the PMO? The funds so collected shall be distributed to the affected districts basing on the sever ness of the draught to be monitored by the MP of the area in a transparent way.
AMEND SRA ACT
The state government using its discretionary powers under the Slums Rehabilitation Act, 1971 has allotted 140 acres of land in Santa Cruz and Khar area to New Delhi based Unitech group. For developing the slum colonies the developer will get 40 acres of land free which may fetch the developer few hundred crores. Development of slums under SRA has become a big real estate business, wherein the greedy developers are getting richer and richer. In this social cause of providing better living facilities to the down trodden, oppressed and not so fortunate citizens of the city, the rules are to be amended in such a way that only Credible/group of Credible NGOs are eligible for bidding, thus eliminating the profit and greed. The excess revenue generated in such schemes should be used for establishing good schools and hospitals in the same locality for the benefit of the same slum dwellers. Under no circumstances the land for slum development is given to greedy developers/land sharks. There are no dearth credible NGOs in the city of Mumbai.
MR.MUSHARAFF PLEASE COME CLEAN ON OTHER MATTERS
APPEARED IN DNA NEWS PAPER, MUMBAI EDITION,ON 15-09-09
The former Pakistan president Pervez Mush raff has admitted that the aids provided
by the United States to Pakistan for the fight against terrorism during his tenure was misused to strengthen the defenses against India. (DNA 14-09-09) Earlier, Mr.Zardari, the present P M has accepted the fact that the terrorists in their land are created, nurtured and supported by the Establishment. The 26/11 attack on Mumbai is carried out by terrorists by tacit understanding and the support of PAK military and ISI. Including Mr. Zardari the establishment denied any involvement. The government of India has provided enough proof that the attack was carried out by out - fits that are sheltered and protected by the Government of PAK. So for no action has been taken against the perpetrators of the attack. The PAK government is not cooperating with India in this matter. The dreaded international gangsters, drug peddlers and terrorists are living like Moghul emperors of yester years with active support of the government. India has given a list of most wanted international criminals who are sheltered in PAK. It is time that Mr. Mushraf comes out clean on other matters including the 26/11 Mumbai attack.
The former Pakistan president Pervez Mush raff has admitted that the aids provided
by the United States to Pakistan for the fight against terrorism during his tenure was misused to strengthen the defenses against India. (DNA 14-09-09) Earlier, Mr.Zardari, the present P M has accepted the fact that the terrorists in their land are created, nurtured and supported by the Establishment. The 26/11 attack on Mumbai is carried out by terrorists by tacit understanding and the support of PAK military and ISI. Including Mr. Zardari the establishment denied any involvement. The government of India has provided enough proof that the attack was carried out by out - fits that are sheltered and protected by the Government of PAK. So for no action has been taken against the perpetrators of the attack. The PAK government is not cooperating with India in this matter. The dreaded international gangsters, drug peddlers and terrorists are living like Moghul emperors of yester years with active support of the government. India has given a list of most wanted international criminals who are sheltered in PAK. It is time that Mr. Mushraf comes out clean on other matters including the 26/11 Mumbai attack.
Sunday, September 13, 2009
INFOSYS: IT IS TIME TO PAY BACK
While addressing the meeting organaised by Confederation of Indian Industry (CII) in Chennai, Mr. Kris Gopalakrishanan, among others has indicated that there are problems for expansion particularly with regard to land acquisition, air and telecom connectivity and other infrastructure support. For more than decade the Center as well as various state governments has provided the necessary support by way allotting land at confessional rate, waiver of stamps fee, income tax waiver and other concessions through STPs. Infosys is also is one of the beneficiary of such concession which has made the company what it is today. The company is sitting on cash equallent to almost $2 billion rupees. The founding directors and other senior executives of the company are each worth more than few hundred crores. The company boosts of creating thousands millionaire employees. In spite of getting adequate support from the government from time to time, Mr. Kris Gopalakrishan has chosen to blame the government for inadequate availability of land and other infrastructure facilities in tier I and II cities as the reason for delay in expansion. The czars of I T industry instead of blaming government should buy the land at market price (as being done by other industries) and build roads and infrastructure at their own cost as a token of gratitude for the benefits enjoyed so far from the governments. The cash rich Infosys should take a lead in this social corporate responsibility.
THIRD FRONT LACKS CREDIBILITY
The recently formed Third Front (DNA 13-09-09) also called as Republican Left Democratic Front (RLDF) lacks credibility as an alternative to the Congress –NCP and Shiv Sena –BJP alliance. The conglomeration started with 23 parties is now down to 17 parties within a couple of days of its formation. Differences have already developed among the community leaders. Mr. T M Kamble and Mr. Prakash Ambedkar turning down the unity call given by Mr.Ramdas Athvale. The ideology of the parties differs on many issues. Their only aim is to garner as many assembly seats as possible, to play a king maker role in case of hung assembly. Their main constituent, the Left, has been rejected by the voters in the last Lok Sabha election in the states they are in power. Left ideology, progamme and policies are out dated. Voters will not buy their theory. JDS is non-existent in Maharastra. Mr. Ramdas Athvale says the Front will maintain equi- distance from the above referred Congress and BJP alliance. Will he sticks to his promise in case of a hung assembly and his Front getting good numbers? Million dollar question. Lastly, formation of political parties/group on the basis of caste,community and religion is dangerous for democracy.
Friday, September 11, 2009
ASKING FOR TROUBLE
This is with reference to the article ‘My Barber’s wisdom’ by Ramesh Ramanathan. Although the story was interesting, Mr. Ramanathan unintentionally has invited trouble for his barber by mentioning that the barber has spent whopping Rs 50.00 lacs for the marriage of his daughter. This may attract the attention of Income Tax authorities, who are always, look out for some clue/lead to unearth the black money. Next time when visits his barber he may proudly presents a copy of the article and although the barber who can not read will probably display the news paper cutting in his shop. But the uneducated chap will not know what is in the offing.
Thursday, September 10, 2009
FRAUGHT WITH DANGER
The views of Mr. G C Chaturvedi, Additional secretary, department of Financial Services, Ministry of Finance, that Public Sector Banks can draw lessons from the private sector on out sourcing is fraught with danger (Business Line 09-10-09). Any out sourcing in banking amounts to sharing of sensitive customer information. In the era of cyber age banking data can be misused by the solution providers (who are not accountable to the banks customers) bringing disreputation and mis-trust to the banks concerned. Banking is about trust and credibility. Public Sector Banks in India are more trustworthy and have better credibility compared to their counter part in the private sector for obvious reasons. His other suggestion of variable pay in public sector banks might be difficult to implement given the basic purpose and characteristics of public sector banking that is social banking as compared to private sector banking whose motto is to maximize the profit without any social responsibility.
HEIGHT OF IMMATURITY
The Jet Airways chairman Mr. Naresh Goyal’s statement that the ‘Pilots are behaving like terrorists’ (DNA 10-09-09) is laughable. The on going tussle between National Aviation Guild (NAG) and the Jet Airways management has not happened over night.
The pilots association has demanding for revocation of suspension of three of pilots for a very long time. The management for the reasons best known for themselves neither took back the sacked employees nor engaged in any meaningful dialogue with the association. It is not the pilots who are behaving like terrorists; it is other way round-the management. The management’s decision not engage in talks with the pilots association speaks volumes about its HR policy. Mr. Goyal is in the business for quite long time and is aware that the employees are the prime asset of the company and not the aero planes he owns. It is the employees who generate the revenue and build reputation not the machines. The Jet Airways is already in Red, because of competition, recession and this, what could have been avoidable situation has damaged the reputation of the management as unreliable airline. It is not too late for the management to concede the just demand of the employees and try to salvage its maligned reputation.
The pilots association has demanding for revocation of suspension of three of pilots for a very long time. The management for the reasons best known for themselves neither took back the sacked employees nor engaged in any meaningful dialogue with the association. It is not the pilots who are behaving like terrorists; it is other way round-the management. The management’s decision not engage in talks with the pilots association speaks volumes about its HR policy. Mr. Goyal is in the business for quite long time and is aware that the employees are the prime asset of the company and not the aero planes he owns. It is the employees who generate the revenue and build reputation not the machines. The Jet Airways is already in Red, because of competition, recession and this, what could have been avoidable situation has damaged the reputation of the management as unreliable airline. It is not too late for the management to concede the just demand of the employees and try to salvage its maligned reputation.
Tuesday, September 8, 2009
SEA LINK: POOR COLLECTION-EFFECT OF COST ESCALATION
The Toll operator and The Maharastra State Road Development Corporation (MSRDC) are worried that the sea link usage is only around 40% and it is yet to achieve the break-even. The investments made in this kind of mega projects are huge. And because of undue delay in implementing the project, for various reasons, the cost has gone up many folds. Had the project been completed as envisaged without any time and cost delay the Toll could have as low as Rs 20.00 which would have made both the operator and the commuters who are using the bridge very happy. When cost goes up like what happened to this project, naturally the gestation period are usually is very long. Hence, it is not proper to expect the venture to break even from the day one. The present toll of Rs 50 for one way usage is on the very high side which is acting as a deterrent for some people to use this route. The MSRDC should reduce the toll to Rs 30.00 to enable more people to use the route which will increase the revenues. This move will further reduce the traffic congestion in the adjoining areas. More over the sea-link has been built for the benefit of general public and even if MSRDC loses money for some period it should not worry too much about it and to this effect the Toll agreement should be modified.
SHINDE’S APPOINTMENT: POLITICAL MASTER STROKE
The Congress high command decision to appoint Mr. Sushil Kumar Shinde as the head of the state poll campaign committee is a master stroke. The move will help the dalit votes to consolidation in fauvor of the Congress. Mr. Shinde’s clean image and the good work done/initiatives he took when he was the CM for the uplifment of the backward class and dalits will go along way in un-settling the conglomeration of 21 political forces lead by RPI chief Mr. Ramdas Athavale. The MNS is sure to eat into Sena vote bank and may emerge as a strong political outfit. The image of the BJP is very low because of the happenings at the party’s head quarters at New Delhi. Compared to the preparedness of the Opposition parties, the Congress-NCP combine is well placed to fight the election. It is likely that this combination will come back to power and that credit should go to Mr. Shinde, who should be made CM to continue the good work he initiated earlier.
Monday, September 7, 2009
BAN ON HORSE CARTS: ALTERNATIVE JOBS NEEDED
‘Basanti ‘call for ban on the horse carts is a move in good direction. (DNA 07-09-09)She has alerted the RTOs by writing a letter, how Tanga owners inflict cruelty on their animals. That is one side of the story. The other side is what will happen to the hapless owners whose only source of income dis appears into thin air. What is the alternative plan our ‘Basanti didi’ is proposing. This problem is not restricted to Thane alone. It is prevailing in other parts of the country too. Most of the so called owners of the Tangas are un- educated and hence it will be difficult for them to find alternate employment. I suggest MS Hemamalini to invest certain amount in a trust to rehabilitate the displaced Tanga walas. They can be provided training in the field, which they have interest, including switching over to auto rickshaw driving. Ms Hemamalini can use her contact and involve some more credible charitable trusts in this mission on a large scale.
APPEARED IN DNA MUMBAI EDITION ON 09-09-09.
APPEARED IN DNA MUMBAI EDITION ON 09-09-09.
Sunday, September 6, 2009
IT HAPPENS ONLY IN INDIA
Ms SHOBHAA DE article on Searching for clues: It happens only in India (TOI 06-09-09) is very interesting. Although the nation has lost four other souls, coverage on TV channels was mainly on YSR. There were passing references to the other four by some channels. Introspection time for TV channels. The sycophants are trying to install Mr. Jag Mohan, son of YSR, as CM, although he lacks experience and administrative knowledge. Jag Mohan is very young and he has a long way to go before he aspires for that coveted post. One hopes better sense prevails on the Congress high command.
The swiftness shown by the Center in taking required action was amazing to say the least. There was involvement of ISRO, Army, remote sensing air craft, local police, forest department officials, paramilitary forces, local guides and what not, that too in a very short time. Kamaal hai! As rightly pointed out this kind of action was definitely missing during the Mumbai attack on 26/11. Long live India.
The swiftness shown by the Center in taking required action was amazing to say the least. There was involvement of ISRO, Army, remote sensing air craft, local police, forest department officials, paramilitary forces, local guides and what not, that too in a very short time. Kamaal hai! As rightly pointed out this kind of action was definitely missing during the Mumbai attack on 26/11. Long live India.
JLR ACQUISITION: WRONG MOVE
The TATA MOTORS decision to acquire JLR, two global brands, is proving to be costly going by the results declared by the company in the last two quarters. The dynamics of the luxury car market has changed with the advent of hybrid - electric cars, with sustained technology. The growing demand for oil, in spite of, recession through out the world, is likely to push the price beyond $ 100/barrel. This acts as a deterrent in the already subdued segment. Look at the financials of its competitor –Maruthi, the country’s largest car maker. It is churning out better than expected results quarter after quarter. It relays on numbers. Its mid sized car and lower end model contribute substantially both to the top and bottom line. It makes sense to increase the numbers in the fully depreciated plant, which will have direct bearing the profitability of the company. The newly acquired brands -JLR are neither going to contribute to the numbers nor to the bottom line.
Saturday, September 5, 2009
HIGH COMMAND SHOULD SAY NO TO SYCOPHANCY
The death of YSR is un-bearable loss to the country in general and to the state of ANDHRA PRADESH in particular. In spite of reasonably good performance of Mr. Chandra Babu Naidu between 1999-2004, YSR single handedly brought the Congress to power to the surprise of all political pundits. Even in 2009 many had written in off citing reasons of incumbency and most importantly Mr.Chiranjivi’s factor. Again YSR proved his critics wrong by bringing back Congress to power and playing a pivotal role in sending 33 members to the Loksabha. The various developmental projects under taken by his government has reached the real beneficiaries. The untimely death has created a void in the state. He was hard working visionary, mass leader. It is very difficult to fill the void. A section of the state leadership wants his son Jaganmohan as CM. This is nothing but sycophancy of the highest order. Mr. Jaganmohan deserves all the sympathies. The untimely death has hit him hard more than any one/any organaisation. The move to make him CM has no logic nor has any rationale. He is inexperienced and lacks administrative knowledge to occupy the highest post of the biggest and one of the most progressive state. The leader should be choosen from the galaxy of experienced and efficient politicians. Mr. Jaganmohan can be accommodated in the state cabinet with an important portfolio. Other wise he can be inducted to the union council since he is a member of the parliament.
Sunday, August 30, 2009
HSBC CREDIT CARDS PAYMENTS: FLEECING THE CARD HOLDERS
The HSBC bank, one of the leading foreign bank and a major player in the credit card market has sent a special message to its card holders, that W.e.f 15-sep-09, a cash payment charge of Rs 100/ will be levied at its branches and drop boxes. This is nothing but fleecing the customers who make prompt payment on their card out standings. Banks are supposed to accept cash payment without any charges particularly with regard to any amount due to them. What is the rationale behind levying such charges? What kind of banking is this? Whether levying of charges this nature has the necessary approval of the Regulatory body, namely RBI. Will the bank or the RBI clarify the matter for the benefit of the general public?
LOOK AT THE BURNING PROBLEMS AND THE FUTURE
The whole of last week, the media, both – electronic and print were busy in discussing what happened during the late forties which are of relevance to current burning problems. The focus should be on how to build a better India for the future generation. How to build better roads, good infrastructure, providing quality education to all, availability of potable drinking water in very home, affordable quality health service. What are the plans are up-liftment of the poor, drown trodden and the underprivileged. We have Naxals, Terrorists problem. How to combat them?
It appears that too many news channels are chasing too few news and hence unimportant and irrelevant topics are exhibited.
It appears that too many news channels are chasing too few news and hence unimportant and irrelevant topics are exhibited.
RIGHT ASSESSMENT
In the article ‘Needed Most: A strong Opposition’ the views expressed and assessment made by Mr. M J Akbar is appropriate. The main opposition party BJP is severely hit by “Jaswant swine flu”. The credibility of its leaders and the party is at new low. As the president of the party Mr. Rajnath Singh has failed miserably. Second rung leaders do not take him seriously. His influence and authority is limited to the state of Uttar Pradesh. The Left which is in power in West Bengal and Kerala are likely to fare very badly in the coming assembly elections because of their out dated ideology and lack of understanding of the nitty-gritty of the fast developing, ever changing dynamics of the economy. The much talked Third front is non-existent. Yadavs are lost somewhere in the middle and fighting for their own surrvial, leave alone building the party at national level. Regional parties are losing their sheen. Mr. Rahul Gandhi is re-building the party from grass root level. The young voters who decide the fate of 2014 parliament elections are likely to give a massive mandate to Congress by default.
POWAI LAND FRAUD
The well-known Hirnandani group’s fraudulent way of wealth creation was exposed by Mumbai Mirror in its lead article on 23-08-09. Having obtained the land from the poor farmers/government at concessional rate under the Powai Area Development Scheme, the group instead of building the affordable housing complex as agreed built sprawling high end housing complex in violation of agreed terms. The MMRDA which probed the irregularities had imposed a penalty of Rs 1993 crores, taking into the prevailing market price. The Maharastra government instead of recovering the penalty in full, has taken a decision to reduce the penalty on builder from the above amount to Rs 218 crore thus helping the builder to save Rs 1777 crore. The state government needs to explain to the public why so much concession was accorded to the wealthiest of the wealthiest. The government should collect the penalty in full and utilize the amount for various welfare programmes particularly those who lost the land in and around erstwhile Powai village
Saturday, August 29, 2009
ADVANI DAYS ARE OVER
BJP’s tallest leader Mr. L K Advani’s days in national politics are appears to be over, because of Kandhahar episode. Mr. Advani has consistently denied any knowledge of release of three hard core terrorists and the then external affairs minister accompanying the terrorists to Kandahar for release of hostages on board of AI flight. Even during the election campaign in 2008 he categorically denied any knowledge of the entire proceedings related to the hijack. The Cabinet committee on security barring Mr. Vajpayee who handled the Kandhahar crisis have confirmed that Advani was in know of things relating to release of terrorists. Mr. Advani should explain to the Nation what made him to lie consistently on this issue. His reputation as a credible leader has taken severe beating. For decades I admired Mr. Advani for his leadership qualities and for his frankness. Likewise millions of followers and admirers have lost faith in him. It is the reputation that matters in public life, particularly for tall leaders like him. It is time that the BJP leadership acknowledges the waning charisma of Advani and accepts his resignation from all positions. Credible young leaders should take over the reins of the party.
PUBLISHED IN DNA NEWS PAPER MUMBAI ON 29-08-09
PUBLISHED IN DNA NEWS PAPER MUMBAI ON 29-08-09
Sunday, August 23, 2009
MUMBAI TRAFFIC WOES: SOME SUGGESTIONS
The ever increasing vehicular traffic in the city is a challenging task for the MUMBAI TRAFFIC POLICE (MTP) to manage. Traffic management is a very complex job and 85% of the traffic problems are directly related to proper infrastructure and good roads. MTP can not do much here. However by strict enforcement of certain traffic rules by MTP and with active cooperation from MMRDA, life can be made little easier for the commuters. Here are some suggestions;
A. Restriction on movement of heavy motor vehicles (HMV). Ban entry of HMVs between 6.00am to 10.00pm. (Other than BMC and GOVT vehicles).
B. Ban parking of all types vehicles on small and narrow roads.
C. Deploy adequate police personnel at important roads/junctions and circles for monitoring traffic movement.
D. Build mini flyovers -- using ‘magic box’ technology at major roads, cross roads and junctions for signal free movement of vehicles. The above concept has been successfully implemented in the city of Bangalore in various locations including on the International air port road.
E. Encourage car owners to go for car pooling. This not only reduces the traffic congestions but also saves on energy.
F. Increase the frequency of Hi-tech buses to lure frequent four wheeler users.
G. Regulate pavement/street vendors by preventing them from blocking the roads during peak hours.
A. Restriction on movement of heavy motor vehicles (HMV). Ban entry of HMVs between 6.00am to 10.00pm. (Other than BMC and GOVT vehicles).
B. Ban parking of all types vehicles on small and narrow roads.
C. Deploy adequate police personnel at important roads/junctions and circles for monitoring traffic movement.
D. Build mini flyovers -- using ‘magic box’ technology at major roads, cross roads and junctions for signal free movement of vehicles. The above concept has been successfully implemented in the city of Bangalore in various locations including on the International air port road.
E. Encourage car owners to go for car pooling. This not only reduces the traffic congestions but also saves on energy.
F. Increase the frequency of Hi-tech buses to lure frequent four wheeler users.
G. Regulate pavement/street vendors by preventing them from blocking the roads during peak hours.
Sunday, August 16, 2009
TALE OF AMBANI BROTHERS: DIFFERENT VIEWS
Mr. Gurcharan Das views on the warring Ambani brothers over the pricing of gas lacks conviction on what is right and ethical.( Times of India 16-08-09) The elder brother, at the time of separation has agreed to supply the gas to his younger brother and to the NTPC at a specified rate. While agreeing to that rate at that time Mr. Mukesh must have made his home work and agreed to the price which is more than the cost price. If the terms of the agreement provides for revision of the prices even before the supply of one mmbtu, his company has every right to revise the prices. If not he should supply the gas at previously agreed price. Just because the current market price is higher than the agreed price the agreement can’t be breached. It is not about money but it is about business ethics, integrity, trasperency and trust. Satyam collapsed for not adhering to the above. Had Ambani brothers not separated I don’t think Mukesh would have taken the same decision of increase in prices to his group companies. By supplying gas at a lower rate, apart from his brother, the major beneficiaries are fertilizer producers and power plants who will pass on the benefits to the public at large.
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