List of forthcoming IPOs.
a. Fineotex Chemical Limited
b. Jaypee Infra tech Limited
c. Jaypee Estates Projects Limited
d. PNC Infra tech Limited
e. Aqua Logistics Limited
f. Everest Infra Energy Limited
g. Intrasoft Technologies Limited
h. Sterlite Energy Limited
i. Vasocn eng.ltd
j. Hathway cables ltd
k. Kumar urban developers ltd
l. Nitesh estates ltd
m. Lodha developers ltd
n. Tarapur Transformers Limited
o. Rural Electrification Corporation Limited
Sunday, December 13, 2009
Wednesday, December 9, 2009
IPO ANALYSIS -DB CORP LIMITED – SKIP, JUMP AND PASS OVER
D B Corp, one of the leading print media house in the country, publishing 48 newspaper editions, in three languages, in eleven states and which also operates 17 FM radio stations, is entering the capital markets. The public issue consist of 1, 81, 75,000 shares of Rs 10/ each, including the offer for sale of 1, 27, 25000 shares in the price band of Rs 185 -212.
The issue will open on 11-12-09 and closes on 15-12-09. Enam Securities private limited, Citi Corp Markets India private limited and Kotak Mahindra Capital Company limited are the Book Running Lead Managers.
The flagship newspapers of DB Corp are, Dainik Bhaskar, Divya Bhaskar and Saurashtra Samachar, have a combined average daily readership of 15.5 million readers, making them one of the most widely read newspaper groups in the country. The other newspapers are Business Bhaskar, DB Gold and DB Star and, on a franchisee basis, DNA (in Gujarat and Rajasthan). In addition to newspapers, they also publish 5 periodicals, namely, Aha Zindagi, a monthly magazine published in Hindi and Gujarati, Bal Bhaskar, a Hindi magazine for children, Young Bhaskar, a children’s magazine in English and Lakshya, a career magazine in Hindi.
OBJECTS OF THE ISSUE
The objects of this Issue are to raise funds for - setting up new publishing units, upgrading existing plant and machinery, enhancing brand image through sales and marketing, reducing existing working capital loans and for prepaying existing term loans.
However, the projects for which the Net Proceeds are intended to be utilized have not been appraised by any bank or financial institution and the costs of the projects are based on the internal estimates of the Company.
FINANCIALS
07 08 09 (Rs in crores)
Total Income 674.37 862.69 960.98
Net Profit 35.90 69.77 54.81
EPS (In rupees) 3.06 6.01 4.06
The weighted average RoNW was in excess of 30% for the last three years.
VALUATION AND MATTERS OF CONCERN
Established brands in Indian print media with wide geographical reach. Average fundamentals. Based on FY 2009 EPS, in the price band of Rs 185 -212 the stock is valued around 50 times its earnings, as against the industry average of 28 times. The valuation is very much stretched. The company has no definitive business plans. The promoter group companies have history of de-listing from the Stock Exchanges. Some of the trademarks, logos and copyrights are not registered. The company is unable to disclose information in relation to certain promoter group companies. Promoters and promoter group have equity interests or investments in other entities that offer services that are related to the business of DB Corp.
BUSINESS CHALLENGES
D B Corp business is dependent on advertising revenue and a reduction in advertising expenditure, loss of advertising customers or inability to attract new customers could have a material adverse affect on the business. The company relies substantially on advertisements revenue. During the financial year ended March 31, 2009, the company derived 75.50% of consolidated income from advertisement income.
According to PWC report, the media growth rate to increase in 2010 to 10.4%, from of about 9% now, as economic conditions are expected to gradually improve. The industry will continue to grow at increasing rate and there will be an overall compounded annual growth rate for the period 2009-13 of 10.5 percent. The report also predicts a healthy growth in all eight segments of entertainment and media industry in next four years (2010 to 2013). These are television, filmed entertainment, print media comprising newspaper and magazine publishing, radio, emerging segments like music, animation, gaming, internet advertising.
The Indian newspaper industry is intensely competitive. In each of the markets, DB Corp faces competition from other newspapers for circulation, readership and advertising. In addition, they may face competition from other forms of media including, television broadcasters, magazines, radio broadcasters and websites. These other forms of media compete with newspapers for advertisement and for the time and attention of readers. The group may also face competition from international media companies as the Government of India has recently liberalized its foreign investment regulations and restrictions applicable to the media sector. Competition for circulation and readership has often resulted in competitors reducing the cover-prices of their newspapers. Furthermore, competition for advertising from newspapers has often resulted in competitors reducing advertising rates or offering price incentives to advertising customers. Such reduction in prices or rates or the introduction of new price incentives could have a material adverse effect on financials.
Circulation and readership of newspapers among readers is an important source of revenue as they significantly influence ad-spend by advertisers and advertising rates. Circulation and readership are dependent on, among other factors, the quality of editorial content and the preferences of readers, the reach of newspapers, and the loyalty of readers to newspapers and ability to successfully establish new locally focused newspapers in new regions. Any failure to meet readers’ preferences, quality content may affect circulation and in turn revenues.
The issue is very unattractively priced. There is nothing left for investors. AVOID SUBSCRIPTION.
DISCLAIMER
The opinions expressed on this site are personal.Apply your own judgment before making investments of any kind. Thank you.
The issue will open on 11-12-09 and closes on 15-12-09. Enam Securities private limited, Citi Corp Markets India private limited and Kotak Mahindra Capital Company limited are the Book Running Lead Managers.
The flagship newspapers of DB Corp are, Dainik Bhaskar, Divya Bhaskar and Saurashtra Samachar, have a combined average daily readership of 15.5 million readers, making them one of the most widely read newspaper groups in the country. The other newspapers are Business Bhaskar, DB Gold and DB Star and, on a franchisee basis, DNA (in Gujarat and Rajasthan). In addition to newspapers, they also publish 5 periodicals, namely, Aha Zindagi, a monthly magazine published in Hindi and Gujarati, Bal Bhaskar, a Hindi magazine for children, Young Bhaskar, a children’s magazine in English and Lakshya, a career magazine in Hindi.
OBJECTS OF THE ISSUE
The objects of this Issue are to raise funds for - setting up new publishing units, upgrading existing plant and machinery, enhancing brand image through sales and marketing, reducing existing working capital loans and for prepaying existing term loans.
However, the projects for which the Net Proceeds are intended to be utilized have not been appraised by any bank or financial institution and the costs of the projects are based on the internal estimates of the Company.
FINANCIALS
07 08 09 (Rs in crores)
Total Income 674.37 862.69 960.98
Net Profit 35.90 69.77 54.81
EPS (In rupees) 3.06 6.01 4.06
The weighted average RoNW was in excess of 30% for the last three years.
VALUATION AND MATTERS OF CONCERN
Established brands in Indian print media with wide geographical reach. Average fundamentals. Based on FY 2009 EPS, in the price band of Rs 185 -212 the stock is valued around 50 times its earnings, as against the industry average of 28 times. The valuation is very much stretched. The company has no definitive business plans. The promoter group companies have history of de-listing from the Stock Exchanges. Some of the trademarks, logos and copyrights are not registered. The company is unable to disclose information in relation to certain promoter group companies. Promoters and promoter group have equity interests or investments in other entities that offer services that are related to the business of DB Corp.
BUSINESS CHALLENGES
D B Corp business is dependent on advertising revenue and a reduction in advertising expenditure, loss of advertising customers or inability to attract new customers could have a material adverse affect on the business. The company relies substantially on advertisements revenue. During the financial year ended March 31, 2009, the company derived 75.50% of consolidated income from advertisement income.
According to PWC report, the media growth rate to increase in 2010 to 10.4%, from of about 9% now, as economic conditions are expected to gradually improve. The industry will continue to grow at increasing rate and there will be an overall compounded annual growth rate for the period 2009-13 of 10.5 percent. The report also predicts a healthy growth in all eight segments of entertainment and media industry in next four years (2010 to 2013). These are television, filmed entertainment, print media comprising newspaper and magazine publishing, radio, emerging segments like music, animation, gaming, internet advertising.
The Indian newspaper industry is intensely competitive. In each of the markets, DB Corp faces competition from other newspapers for circulation, readership and advertising. In addition, they may face competition from other forms of media including, television broadcasters, magazines, radio broadcasters and websites. These other forms of media compete with newspapers for advertisement and for the time and attention of readers. The group may also face competition from international media companies as the Government of India has recently liberalized its foreign investment regulations and restrictions applicable to the media sector. Competition for circulation and readership has often resulted in competitors reducing the cover-prices of their newspapers. Furthermore, competition for advertising from newspapers has often resulted in competitors reducing advertising rates or offering price incentives to advertising customers. Such reduction in prices or rates or the introduction of new price incentives could have a material adverse effect on financials.
Circulation and readership of newspapers among readers is an important source of revenue as they significantly influence ad-spend by advertisers and advertising rates. Circulation and readership are dependent on, among other factors, the quality of editorial content and the preferences of readers, the reach of newspapers, and the loyalty of readers to newspapers and ability to successfully establish new locally focused newspapers in new regions. Any failure to meet readers’ preferences, quality content may affect circulation and in turn revenues.
The issue is very unattractively priced. There is nothing left for investors. AVOID SUBSCRIPTION.
DISCLAIMER
The opinions expressed on this site are personal.Apply your own judgment before making investments of any kind. Thank you.
Friday, December 4, 2009
IPO ANALYSIS: GODREJ PROPERTIES LIMITED – SURE WINNER - APPLY
Mumbai based, leading real estate development company, who are one of the top ten builders in the country, is entering the capital markets, to raise around Rs 500 crore, with public issue of 94,29,750 equity shares of Rs 10/- each in the price band of Rs 490 -530. The issue will open on 09-12-09 and close on 12-12-09. ICICI Securities limited, Kotak Mahindra Capital Company, IDFC- SSKI LIMITED and Nomura Financial Advisory Securities Pvt limited are the Book Running Lead Managers to the issue.
The company is promoted by Godrej Industries Limited, which holds around 80% of equity share capital. Godrej Industries Limited is the listed flagship company of the Godrej group, which is one of the leading business conglomerates in the country.
Godrej Group is engaged in diverse business segments, spanning Home appliances, FMCG, Consumer products, Industrial products , Oleo chemicals, Animal feed, Real estate development and Oil palm plantations.
Godrej properties limited (GPL) has real estate development projects in 10 cities in India, which are at various stages of development. Currently, the business focus is on residential, commercial and township developments. GPL is a fully integrated real estate development company involved in all activities associated with the development of residential and commercial real estate.
GPL, as of October 15, 2009, has Land Reserves of 391.04 acres aggregating approximately 82.74 million sq. ft. of Developable Area and 50.21 million sq. ft. of Saleable Area, located in or around prominent and growing cities across India, such as Mumbai, Pune, Bengaluru and Ahmedabad. As on the same date the company has completed a total of 23 projects comprising 16 residential and 7 commercial projects, aggregating approximately 5.13 million sq. ft. of area for development.
OBJECT OF THE ISSUE
The company plans to raise around Rs 500 cr, intends to use Rs 203 cr for acquisition of land development rights for forthcoming projects, Rs 75 cr for construction purposes, Rs 172 cr for repayment of loans and the rest is for general corporate purposes.
FINANCIALS
The company reported a robust income of Rs 247.38cr, 227.50cr and 137.26cr in the last three years. The profit after tax was Rs 76.62cr, 74.85cr and 28.72cr respectively for the same period. The average RoNW during the same period was around 34%.
VALUATION
GPL is promoted by reputed Godrej group, which has very strong brand equity. Excellent financial track record. Leaders in corporate governance. In the price band of Rs 490-530 the stock is valued at about 40 times of its earning for FY-09. ICRA has awarded grade 4 for the IPO indicating above average fundamentals. The high valuation is justified considering the strong financials, brand equity and future business prospects.
CHALLENGES AND STRATEGIES
The company’s ability to successfully compete in new segments across different geographies is yet to be demonstrated. Due to general recession, proportion of un-booked space in the on-going commercial projects exposes it to market risks. Further slowdown in real estate segment may affect the demand and resultant decline in property prices. This coupled with oversupply situation in many pockets can affect the prices further, which will have cascading impact on financials.
As per CRISIL estimate, the annual additions in units are expected to grow from 70 million units in 2008 to reach 81 million units in 2014. Estimated annual additions in units in rural areas are to grow from 174 million units in 2008 from 198 million units in 2014. GPL with selective acquisition of land parcels in strategic locations, also enter into development agreements with land owners to acquire development rights to their land in exchange for a pre-determined portion of revenues, profits or developable area generated from the projects. The Godrej brand name and the reputation associated with it contribute in attracting potential joint development partners . This business model enables undertaking more projects without having to invest large amounts of money towards purchasing land. Hence, GPL is able to limit risk through project diversification while maintaining significant management control over our projects. A SURE WINNER FROM THE GODREJ STABLE. APPLY.
The company is promoted by Godrej Industries Limited, which holds around 80% of equity share capital. Godrej Industries Limited is the listed flagship company of the Godrej group, which is one of the leading business conglomerates in the country.
Godrej Group is engaged in diverse business segments, spanning Home appliances, FMCG, Consumer products, Industrial products , Oleo chemicals, Animal feed, Real estate development and Oil palm plantations.
Godrej properties limited (GPL) has real estate development projects in 10 cities in India, which are at various stages of development. Currently, the business focus is on residential, commercial and township developments. GPL is a fully integrated real estate development company involved in all activities associated with the development of residential and commercial real estate.
GPL, as of October 15, 2009, has Land Reserves of 391.04 acres aggregating approximately 82.74 million sq. ft. of Developable Area and 50.21 million sq. ft. of Saleable Area, located in or around prominent and growing cities across India, such as Mumbai, Pune, Bengaluru and Ahmedabad. As on the same date the company has completed a total of 23 projects comprising 16 residential and 7 commercial projects, aggregating approximately 5.13 million sq. ft. of area for development.
OBJECT OF THE ISSUE
The company plans to raise around Rs 500 cr, intends to use Rs 203 cr for acquisition of land development rights for forthcoming projects, Rs 75 cr for construction purposes, Rs 172 cr for repayment of loans and the rest is for general corporate purposes.
FINANCIALS
The company reported a robust income of Rs 247.38cr, 227.50cr and 137.26cr in the last three years. The profit after tax was Rs 76.62cr, 74.85cr and 28.72cr respectively for the same period. The average RoNW during the same period was around 34%.
VALUATION
GPL is promoted by reputed Godrej group, which has very strong brand equity. Excellent financial track record. Leaders in corporate governance. In the price band of Rs 490-530 the stock is valued at about 40 times of its earning for FY-09. ICRA has awarded grade 4 for the IPO indicating above average fundamentals. The high valuation is justified considering the strong financials, brand equity and future business prospects.
CHALLENGES AND STRATEGIES
The company’s ability to successfully compete in new segments across different geographies is yet to be demonstrated. Due to general recession, proportion of un-booked space in the on-going commercial projects exposes it to market risks. Further slowdown in real estate segment may affect the demand and resultant decline in property prices. This coupled with oversupply situation in many pockets can affect the prices further, which will have cascading impact on financials.
As per CRISIL estimate, the annual additions in units are expected to grow from 70 million units in 2008 to reach 81 million units in 2014. Estimated annual additions in units in rural areas are to grow from 174 million units in 2008 from 198 million units in 2014. GPL with selective acquisition of land parcels in strategic locations, also enter into development agreements with land owners to acquire development rights to their land in exchange for a pre-determined portion of revenues, profits or developable area generated from the projects. The Godrej brand name and the reputation associated with it contribute in attracting potential joint development partners . This business model enables undertaking more projects without having to invest large amounts of money towards purchasing land. Hence, GPL is able to limit risk through project diversification while maintaining significant management control over our projects. A SURE WINNER FROM THE GODREJ STABLE. APPLY.
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