Wednesday, February 15, 2012

IPO ANALYSIS: MULTI COMMODITY EXCHANGE OF INDIA (MCX): BRIGHT PROSPECTS - INVEST






PRICE BAND Rs 860 to Rs 1,032.


ISSUE DETAILS:

ISSUE SIZE / FV

64,27,378 SHARES / RS10

IPO OPEN / CLOSE

22-02-12 /24-02-12

BRLMS

EDELWEISS, MORGAN STANLEY AND CITI CORP

REGISTRARS

KARVY

IPO GRADE

5 / 5 BY CRISIL

IPO - OFFER FOR SALE - DETAILS OF OFFERORS

(NO OF SHARES)

FTIL

26,43,916

SBI

21,12,025

GLG

7,81,508

ALEXNADERIA

3,90,754

CORP BANK

2,46,175

ICICI LOMBARD

1,48,000

BOB

1,05,000

TOTAL

64,27,378 SHARES


OBJECTS OF THE OFFER

The objects of the Offer are to achieve the benefits of listing on the exchanges and to carry out the sale.

The listing of the Equity Shares will enhance the brand name and provide liquidity to the existing shareholders.

The Company will not receive any proceeds from the Offer.

ABOUT MCX

It is promoted by FTIL with a pre-IPO stake of 31.18%. FTIL is a Software developer and a technical service provider of automated electronic solutions for foreign exchange, commodities and equities.

MCX’s leadership position in the Indian commodity futures market over the past four years, with over 80% share of the overall traded turnover in FY11. It is a leader in the trading of bullion, crude oil, copper and natural gas.

The total value of commodity futures contracts traded on the Exchange in the nine months ended December 31, 2011 and the fiscals 2011, 2010 and 2009 was Rs 119,806.89 billion, Rs 98,415.03 billion, Rs 63,933.03 billion and Rs 45,880.95 billion, respectively. According to data maintained by the FMC, these amounts represented 87.3%, 82.4%, 82.3% and 87.4% of the Indian commodity futures industry in terms of the value of commodity futures contracts traded during the same periods.

As of December 31, 2011, MCX, offered trading in 49 commodity futures based on contract specifications, from a diverse range of classes including bullion, ferrous and non-ferrous metals, energy and agriculture. The same underlying physical asset traded under different contract specifications is regarded as a separate commodity future.

MCX as has around 2,200 members on the Exchange‘s platform, with over 296,000 terminals.

MCX is the largest silver exchange, the second largest gold, copper and natural gas exchange and the third largest crude oil exchange, in terms of the number of commodity futures contracts traded for each of these commodities.



FINANCIALS (RS IN MILLIONS)

YEAR

31-03-09

31-03-10

31-03-11

31-12-11

(9 MONTHS)

INCOME

2,124.48

2,873.82

3,688.92

4,023.33

NET PROFIT AFTER TAX

1,574.19

2,207.26

1,730.97

2,205.34

CAPITAL

407.96

407.99

509.99

509.99

EPS

31.60

43.30

34.56

58.00#

NET WORTH

4,936.50

6,968.12

8,488.49

10,739.25

# Annualized.


VALUATION AND RECOMMENDATIONS:

The offer for sale of 64.27 lac shares of Rs 10 each constitutes 12.6% of the paid up capital of Rs 50.99 CR. MCX, in the price band of Rs 860- 1032 is valued around 17 times its FY12 earnings and 5 times its NAV. This compares well with its counterparts, the US based CME and ICE. Shares are being listed only on BSE is a negative factor. The company has had negative cash flow in the previous years.

Considering small size of the offer, there will be listing gains. INVEST.





17 comments:

  1. Dear sir,

    What is your reasoning behind recommending this ipo without the price band? What happens if the price band is exorbitantly high?

    ReplyDelete
  2. An apple is good to buy at Rs 10. The same apple tastes sour at Rs 100

    Kindly publish your Expert Opinion, after price is announced

    ReplyDelete
  3. Sir,

    Its just an "offer-for-sale", where the proceedings wont be used for the company. So do you think offloading promoters stake will infer degrading company's performance/revenues ?
    Pls throw some more light on companies fundamentals and past performance.
    Thanks,
    Tej.

    ReplyDelete
  4. It depends on what kind / quality of apple you are buying.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Can you please share your view as price band is out. Do you think PE of 18 @ higher price band is justifiable?
      Also what kind of listing gain you think it will achieve?

      Delete
  5. Offer for sale will not increase the equity base. FTIL and PE investors are offloading. The company has tremendous growth potential. Invest.

    ReplyDelete
  6. PE of 18 justified. Listing gain may be around 25%.

    ReplyDelete
  7. Sir,
    Pls explain how MCX gets revenues by trading commodities in its exchange ?

    Thanks,
    Tej.

    ReplyDelete
  8. Members ship fees, turn over and transaction fees.

    ReplyDelete
  9. What do you think of its choosing only BSE as listing exchange? Do you think NSE found it unsuitable & thereby didnt granted permission to list it?

    ReplyDelete
  10. That is one of the risk factor. Manipulation is easy in BSE. Our recommendations is based on fundamentals. There will be listing gains.

    ReplyDelete
  11. Kindly educate us about implication of recent circuit limit fixed on listing day for IPOs. Plz avoid technical language to the extent possible

    ReplyDelete
  12. The applicable circuit filter for this IPO is 20%.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Can you please explain what does applicable circuit filter means??

      Delete
  13. For IPOs with more than Rs 250cr in size the applicable circuit filter is 20%.

    ReplyDelete
  14. MCX Is listing on BSE with 1032 per share. i applied for 108 shares with a bid of 1031 shares. How many shares can i expect to be allotted. What about listing gains?

    ReplyDelete