Monday, April 30, 2012

10 REASONS WHY ONE SHOULD NOT EVINCE INTEREST IN SAMVARDHANA MOTHERSON IPO.




  1. RS 1600cr plus fund raising programme has not been appraised by any Bank / FI.

  1. Expensive valuation. Loss making company is demanding a very hefty premium.

  1. Samvardhana Motherson Finance Limited (SMFL) has 18 subsidiaries, 19JVs and 1 associate company.  Motherson Sumi Limited (MSSL) is a listed entity in India in which SMFL holds 36% equity. MSSL has 83 companies as its subsidiaries / JVs /associates. Apart from this, the promoter group has promoted 23 entities. It is really a maze.

  1. Offer For Sale (Rs 321cr) is by Radha Rani Holdings.  The promoter of Radha Rani Holdings is JSRR Holdings, a company incorporated under the laws of Mauritius. JSRR Holdings   is wholly owned and controlled by JBJ Development Inc, a company incorporated under the laws of British Virgin Islands. JBJ Development Inc,  is  wholly  owned  and  controlled  by  JBJK Growth  Trust,  a  discretionary  irrevocable  trust established under  the  laws of British Virgin  Islands. The  trustee of JBJK Growth Trust  is Pollux Trustee Services Limited;  a  company  incorporated  under  the  laws  of  Switzerland. The board of directors of Radha Rani Holdings comprises, among others, is Vivek Chaand Sehgal is one of the promoters of Samvardhana Motherson Finance limited.

  1. The company post issue will have equity around Rs 593cr. Considering the Samvardhana demands a PE multiple of 10, the company should report a net profit after tax of Rs 590cr in FY13, which is unlikely. The funds are intended for reduction / prepayments of debt, investments in joint ventures and not for capacity expansion. It will take another 2 or 3 years for the company to consolidate its operation and report decent bottom line.

6.    Average RONW in the last 3 years is just 8%.


  1. The company had negative cash flows in the past.

  1. The average cost of acquisition of shares by promoters is less than Rs10.


  1. One of the promoters is also part selling his stake in the offer for sale.

  1. Offer for Sale proceeds are being routed through tax havens.


FII BUYING PUSHES UP NIFTY BY 40 POINTS

After GAAR controversy and confusion, in the last few days, FIIs have net purchased to the extent of Rs 480cr in cash market today.  Selective purchases were made in Bank, Auto and IT stocks. Market movements now largely depends on positive news flows and policy decisions. TCS, INFY, DLF, Hero Motors and ICICI Bank, among others, were the major gainers.

SAMVARDHANA MOTHERSON FINANCE LIMITED (SMFL) IPO REVIEW: ONE DOES NOT KNOW FROM WHERE THE MONEY IS COMING OR GOING.

Samvardhana Motherson Finance Limited (SMFL) has 18 subsidiaries, 19JVs and 1 associate company.  Motherson Sumi Limited (MSSL) is an listed entity in India in which SMFL holds 36% equity. MSSL has 83 companies as its subsidiaries / JVs /associates. Apart from this, the promoter group has promoted 23 entities. It is really a maze.

LAXMI MITTAL RETAINS TOP SLOT


Laxmi Mittal and his family top the list of Britain’s 1,000 richest people for the eighth consecutive year with a total wealth £12.7bn while Sri and Gopichand Hinduja are at number four with £8.6bn.

Sunday, April 29, 2012

13 OUT OF 20, GRADE 4 IPOS ARE TRADING IN RED



In the last 2 years 20 IPOs with grade 4 have hit the market. Out of the 20 only 7 are trading in the green.



NAME

IPO PRICE

CMP

P&S BANK

120

73

A2Z

400

105

OBEROI REALTY

260

266

TECHPRO

355

191

WATECH*

1310

435

ORIENTGREEN

47

13

EROS INTL

175

187

BAJAJ CORP*.

660

126

HM MEDIA VENTURES

166

141

SJVN

26

19

UBI

66

65

SKS MICRO

985

105

ILFS TRANSPORT

258

190

PERSISTENT

310

342

GUJ PIPAV

46

59

ASHOKA BUILD CON

324

207

TD POWER

256

293

MUTHOOT

175

119

NBCC

106

96

MT EDUCARE

80

111


* Split of FV from Rs 10 to Rs 2.


APPLE’S SMART WAY OF DOING BUSINESS




Apple not only manufactures smart phones, but conducts businesses in a very smart way.

The company paid cash taxes of $3.3 billion around the world on its reported profits of $34.2 billion last year, a tax rate of 9.8 percent.

By comparison, Wal-Mart last year paid worldwide cash taxes of $5.9 billion on its  profits of $24.4 billion, a tax rate of 24 percent.

Apple has done something central to its corporate strategy.

Apple’s headquarters is in California. By putting an office in Reno, just 200 miles away, to collect and invest the company’s profits, where tax rates are almost zero. Apple has reduced its tax liability. California’s corporate tax rate is 8.84 percent.


SAMVARDHANA MOTHERSON IPO – OFFER FOR SALE MONEY WILL GO TO TAX HAVENS.





Offer For Sale (Rs 321cr) is by Radha Rani Holdings.  The promoter of Radha Rani Holdings is JSRR Holdings, a company incorporated under the laws of Mauritius. JSRR Holdings   is wholly owned and controlled by JBJ Development Inc. a company incorporated under the laws of British Virgin Islands. JBJ Development Inc.  is  wholly  owned  and  controlled  by  JBJK Growth  Trust,  a  discretionary  irrevocable  trust established under  the  laws of British Virgin  Islands. The  trustee of JBJK Growth Trust  is Pollux Trustee Services Limited;  a  company  incorporated  under  the  laws  of  Switzerland. The board of directors of Radha Rani Holdings comprises, among others is Vivek Chaand Sehgal, promoter of Samvardhana Motherson Finance limited.

SAMVARDHANA MOTHERSON IPO REVIEW - AVOID




For the 9 months ended 31-12-11, the company reported a total income of Rs 6025cr and loss of Rs 129cr. For FY12, the loss could be around Rs 200cr. The company post issue will have equity around Rs 593cr.  Considering the Samvardhana demands a PE multiple of 10, the company should report a net profit after tax of Rs 590cr in FY13, which is unlikely. The funds are intended for reduction / prepayments of debt, investments in joint ventures and not for capacity expansion. One of the promoters is also part selling his stake in the offer for sale. It will take another year or two for the company to consolidate its operation and report decent bottom line.

AVOID THE IPO.

Saturday, April 28, 2012

SAMSUNG IS WORLD’S NUMBER ONE MOBILE PHONE MAKER






Samsung dethroned Nokia as the world’s No. 1 maker of mobile phones, which includes traditional cell phones and smartphones. Samsung sold 92 million phones over the last quarter, and Nokia sold 83 million, according IHS iSuppli, the research firm. It is the first time since 1998 that Nokia is not the No. 1 phone maker in the world.

BSE PROFIT DECLINES




BSE posted a revenue of Rs 578.42cr and net profit of Rs 205.35cr for FY 12. The figures for the previous year were Rs 538.06 and Rs 231.74cr respectively.

The EPS for the current year is at Rs 16.85 and for FY it was Rs 19.05.

Friday, April 27, 2012

IPO ANALYSIS: SAMVARDHANA MOTHERSON. LEAVE ‘MOTHERSON’ ALONE.




PRICE BAND RS 113-118.
ISSUE OPEN / CLOSE 02-05-12 / 04-05-12.
IPO GRADE 4 BY ICRA
BRLM - J P MORGAN, STANDARD CHARTERED
PROMOTERS - VIVEK CHAAND SEHGAL, RENU SEHGAL AND LAKSH VAAMAN SEHGAL. 

BACKGROUND.


SMFL undertakes the design and manufacturing solutions, to the automotive industry, through subsidiaries and joint ventures with partners.  By virtue of being a holding company (in the case of subsidiaries) or a joint venture partner, the share capital of such subsidiaries and joint ventures is held by the Company.   SMFL is an integrated design and manufacturing group providing full system solutions to diverse industries.  The principal focus is on the automotive industry, globally and in India.  Through a combination of organic growth and acquisitions, MSFL now has multinational business with manufacturing and design capabilities as well as customers spread across multiple geographies.   Within the automotive industry, the group is one of the largest manufacturers of exterior rear view vision systems in the world.


The products manufactured by the group include:


• Rear view vision systems;

• Wiring harnesses;

• Polymer processing, including assemblies and bumpers, cockpit assemblies and door trims,    

• Elastomer processing;

• Modules, such as automotive lighting products and heating, ventilation and air-conditioning systems;

• Metal working, including cutting tools, broaches, bi metal band-saw blades and gear cutting tools and  thin film coating metals;

• Cabins for off-highway construction and agricultural vehicles;

• Refrigeration systems;

• Manufacturing  support,  including  air  compressors,  paint  coating  equipment  and  auxiliary  equipment  for injection molding machines.


The manufacturing  locations  are   located  close  to major  automotive manufacturers  in order  to  facilitate  supplies  to the  customers,  and the group has 120 manufacturing facilities, including 48 manufacturing facilities outside India, with a presence in 25 countries across the world. 


The major customers include the Volkswagen group, BMW, Daimler, Renault Nissan, Ford India, Volvo Car Corporation, Maruti Suzuki, Tata Motors, Honda Siel Cars, Toyota Kirloskar Motor and Fiat India Automobiles.   The 10 largest automotive OEM manufacturers in the world are group’s customers.


OBJECTS OF THE IPO:

Samvardhana Motherson IPO intends to raise Rs 1344 CR. The funds intended to be used for the following purposes. This is apart from Offer For Sale proceeds (Rs 321Cr)

RS IN CRORES

PURPOSE

AMOUNT

1. Funding per-payment and repayment of debt facilities availed by the company and certain of its Subsidiaries.

         
      338.50


2.Funding  strategic  investments  in  Samvardhana  Motherson  Polymers
Joint Venture, and Samvardhana Motherson Holding, the Subsidiary of the company

      627.50

3. Funding investments in  rear-view vision systems business 
     
      156.00




4. General corporate purposes


      222.00

5.Total



     1344.00



FINANCIALS   RS IN CRORES



31-3-10

31-3-11
TOTAL INCOME
5061.20
5716.50

PAT

  74.40

 167.65

EPS

    2.10

 2.90

For the 9 months ended 31-12-11, the company reported a total income of Rs 6025cr and loss of Rs 129cr.

NAV as on 31-12-11 is Rs 30.

Average RONW in the last 3 years is  just 8%.


STRENGTHS:

Global customer base and strong relationships with major automotive OEMs.

Market leadership position in exterior rear view vision systems. 

Long  term  partnerships  and  collaborations  with  global  technology  leaders,  facilitating  access  to  cutting-edge Technology.

Wide range of capabilities, enabling us to provide end-to-end solutions to our customers.

Global manufacturing  footprint  arising  from  our  philosophy  of  establishing  production  facilities  close  to the Customers.




MATTERS OF CONCERN:

  • Rs 1600Cr plus fund raising programme has not been appraised by any institution.

  • IPO proceeds identified, may  not  result  in actual  growth  of  the  business,  increased profitability or an increase in the value of  business. 

  • GROWTH in the past has come from inorganic transactions such as acquisitions and joint ventures.

·       Radha Rani Holdings - The promoter of Radha Rani Holdings is JSRR Holdings a company incorporated under the laws of Mauritius. JSRR Holdings   is wholly owned and controlled by JBJ Development Inc., a company incorporated under the laws of British Virgin Islands. JBJ Development Inc.  is  wholly  owned  and  controlled  by  JBJK Growth  Trust,  a  discretionary  irrevocable  trust established under  the  laws of British Virgin  Islands. The  trustee of JBJK Growth Trust  is Pollux Trustee Services Limited;  a  company  incorporated  under  the  laws  of  Switzerland. The board of directors of Radha Rani Holdings comprises: Vivek Chaand Sehgal, Juliana Kassim and Kok Yin Keong Eddy.


  • The Company  intends  to utilize a portion of  the Net Proceeds  to fund  the pre-payment and repayment of debt facilities  availed  by SMF Cyprus, SMH Mauritius  and MATS,  its  Subsidiaries. The  Company also  intends  to  utilize  a  portion  of  the  Net  Proceeds  for  funding  strategic  investments  in SMPL, its Joint Venture, and SMH Mauritius, its Subsidiary. Such investments may not create any assets for the Company and would instead be utilized for the purposes. The Company may, therefore, not receive any immediate benefit from such investments.

  • The company lacks corporate governance.

  • The company had negative cash flows in the past.

  • The average cost of acquisition  of shares by promoters as follows;
 
o       Vivek Chaand Sehgal (117, 103,476) Rs 6.28.
o       Renu Sehgal (109, 825,286) Rs 10.05.
o       Laksh Vaaman Sehgal (105,014,384) Rs 7.27.


 
VALUATION AND RECOMMENDATIONS:

For the 9 months ended 31-12-11, the company reported a total income of Rs 6025cr and loss of Rs 129cr. For FY12, the loss could be around Rs 200cr. The company post issue will have equity around Rs 593cr.  Considering the Samvardhana demands a PE multiple of 10, the company should report a net profit after tax of Rs 590cr in FY13, which is unlikely. The funds are intended for reduction / prepayments of debt, investments in joint ventures and not for capacity expansion. One of the promoters is also part selling his stake in the offer for sale. It will take another year or two for the company to consolidate its operation and report decent bottom line.

AVOID THE IPO.



SAMVARDHANA MOTHERSON IPO PRICE BAND RS 113-118. LEAVE MOTHERSON ALONE

AWAIT DETAILED ANALYSIS.

PEPSICO POSTS FLAT REVENUE, EARNINGS.




The company, reported $1.13 billion revenue for the first quarter, compared with $1.14 billion, in the period a year earlier. PepsiCo earned 69 cents a share.

Revenue was $12.4 billion, up from $11.9 billion in the period a year earlier

GLOBAL CUES, NORMAL MONSOON NEWS MAY HELP INDICES TO OPEN AND STAY IN GREEN


AMAZON'S NET DECLINES

The Seattle based Internet retailer, reported net income of $130 million, for CYQ1, as compared to $201 million,  in the same period a year ago.

Amazon’s revenue rose 34 percent to $13.18 billion from $9.86 billion a year ago. Analysts on average were expecting Amazon to report  revenue of $12.9 billion for the quarter.

Thursday, April 26, 2012

EXXON MOBIL MISSES WALL STREET EXPECTATIONS

Exxon posted profit of $9.45 billion, for the quarter, compared with $10.7 billion, a year earlier. Revenue rose 8.8 percent to $124.1 billion.

The results missed Wall Street expectations earnings per share by whisker.

STOCK WATCH: L&T FINANCE HOLDINGS – BUY. CMP RS 44.85



Financials as on 31-03-12.       RS IN CRORES


TOTAL INCOME

129.42

PBT

 88.90

TAX

17.65

PAT

71.25

EQUITY

1714.76

EPS (Rs)

0.44

FACE VALUE (Rs)

10

MARKET CAP

7690

52 WEEK HIGH / LOW (Rs)

54 / 40

IPO PRICE (Rs)

52

PROMOTERS HOLDING (%)

80+

TBZ IPO SAILS THROUGH

The IPO which is closed for subscription to day received 1.15 times subscription. The IPO failed to get full subscription from the retail investors category.  In this category the IPO could muster subscription to the extent of 68% only.

Over all, the IPO has been bailed out by QIBs and Non Institutional investors.

MRF'S PROFIT UP BY 67% IN THE 2ND QUARTER.





MRF has posted a net profit of Rs. 150.13cr for the quarter ended March 31, 2012 as compared to Rs. 89.85cr for the quarter ended March 31, 2011. Total Income has increased from Rs. 2399.40cr for the quarter ended March 31, 2011 to Rs. 2998.06cr for the quarter ended March 31, 2012. The company closes its books as of 30th Sept.

 

SOCIAL NETWORKS ARE ALSO SOURCE OF ONLINE FRICTIONS, MAY LEAD TO BREAKUP IN RELATIONSHIPS.





Relationships are hard enough. But the rise of social media — where sharing private moments is encouraged, and provocative and confessional postings can help build a following — has created a new source of friction for couples: what is fair game for sharing with the world?

The popular social networking sites are Facebook, Linkedin, Orkut, Twitter, Google+, Myspace, Tagged, Ning, Meetup, Myyearbook, Badoo, Cafemom / others and Emails.

If one half of a couple is not interested in broadcasting the details of a botched dinner or romantic weekend, Facebook postings or tweets can create irritation, embarrassment, miscommunication and bruised egos.

After a few relationship-testing episodes, some spouses have started insisting that their partners ask for approval before posting comments and photographs that include them. Couples also are talking through rules about what is O.K. to share.

Wednesday, April 25, 2012

CREDIT SUISSE PROFIT FALLS BY ALMOST 100%

The Swiss bank, Credit Suisse's  profit fell 96 percent in the first quarter,  the dual headwinds of a new regulatory environment and an economic slump.

Profit in the first three months fell to 44 million Swiss francs ($48 million) from 1.1 billion francs in the first quarter of 2011, driven by a charge on the value on its own debt and a pullback in its investment banking business. Net revenue dropped to 5.9 billion francs from 7.8 billion francs.

Credit Suisse further reduced its risky assets and said its cost-cutting plan is on track.

CHANGE IN CIRCUIT FILTERS FOR NEWLY LISTED IPOS.

The exchanges have revised the circuit filter from 5% to 20% for the two newly listed IPOs - NBCC and M T Educare. This is effective from 26-04-12.

TBZ IPO SUBSCRIPTION STATUS

The IPO received 20% subscription at the end of the second day. The issue, in the price band of Rs 120-126, closes tomorrow.  

AVOID SUBSCRIPTION SINCE IT IS GROSSLY OVER VALUED.

APPLE POSTS RECORD PROFITS.




Driven by record sales of iPhones and iPads, Apple has reported a profit of USD 11.6 billion in the first three months.

Revenues for the quarter ended March 31 was USD 39.2 billion as iPad sales more than doubled from the same quarter the previous year and iPhone sales surged 88 per cent, Apple said after announcing its results yesterday.

Apple's net income for the quarter was nearly doubles that seen in the same three-month period a year earlier.

IPO ANALYSIS: SAMVARDHANA MOTHERSON OBJECTS DOES NOT AUGUR WELL.





Samvardhana Motherson IPO intends to raise Rs 1344 CR, apart from Offer For Sale proceeds of Rs 321Cr.  The funds intended to be used for the following purposes.

RS IN CRORES

PURPOSE

AMOUNT

1. Funding per-payment and repayment of debt facilities availed by the company and certain of its Subsidiaries.

         
      338.50


2.Funding  strategic  investments  in  Samvardhana  Motherson  Polymers
Joint Venture, and Samvardhana Motherson Holding, the Subsidiary of the company

      627.50

3. Funding investments in  rear-view vision systems business 
     
      156.00




4. General corporate purposes


      222.00

5.Total



     1344.00

Tuesday, April 24, 2012

IPO SUBSCRIPTION STATUS -TBZ

TBZ IPO received 6% subscription on day one.