Tuesday, December 30, 2014

KOTAK SECURITIES PICKS 10 STOCKS WHICH WILL DO WELL IN 2015

1.ICICI Bank: TP – Rs.390
ICICI Bank has continued to demonstrate its prowess in improving ALM, maintaining robust liability franchise, managing asset quality risk along with conserving capital. We believe management’s focus on stable growth with improving structural profitability is likely to continue. We value standalone business at Rs.314 (2.0x FY16E ABV) and subsidiaries at Rs.76.
2.IDFC: TP – Rs.172
IDFC is present in the niche infrastructure financing space and is well positioned to benefit from India’s large infrastructure opportunity. We believe, falling wholesale funding rates along with improvement in the outlook on capital market related business are future catalyst for the stock. We like its balance sheet quality where loan loss provision ratio stands robust at 3.6% (Q2FY15), providing enough cushion to its future earnings.
3.Maruti Suzuki: TP – 3644
We expect domestic passenger vehicle industry to do well in the next two to three years. Revival in small car demand and new launches will be the key volume growth drivers for the company. Margins, going ahead, will receive support from reduction in discounts and economies of scale. Apart from this, forex movement has also been favorable for the company and that should be positive for the margins
4.TCS: TP – 2786
Spends in Digital are also growing in line with expectations. In the past several quarters, TCS has reported industry – leading growth rates with sustained margins.
The global economic scenario has improved, especially in USA. While Europe is seeing deceleration in growth, the scenario may not deteriorate significantly, we believe.
5.L&T: TP – 1762
Pace of order intake has been good and should enable the company to meet its order intake guidance for the fiscal. L&T continues to be one of the best plays on infrastructure development in the country. In addition to this, the company would be a major player in upcoming opportunities in Defence, High Speed Rail and Shipbuilding.
6.Kansai Nerolac: TP – 2400
Improvement in automotive demand should benefit KNPL significantly. We also estimate KNPL to improve market share in the high margin decorative segment (currently at 15% in the country) which should aid the margins of the company. Weak crude prices and weakening prices of crude derivatives including key raw material Titanium Dioxide, which is down by 15% YoY, should improve the margins and return ratios of the company going forward.
7.Carborundum Universal: TP – 240
Carborundum Universal enjoys leadership position in the domestic abrasives market along with strong positioning in global electro-minerals and industrial ceramics market. It is well poised to benefit from the improved industrial outlook. Company would likely witness sharp recovery in operating margins on back of restructuring in the international business, going ahead.
8.Kajaria Ceramics: TP – 648
Kajaria ceramics is ideally positioned to capture the increased demand coming from housing development, development of smart cities and industrial corridors and the focus of government on Swatch Bharat Abhiyaan, with its capacity expansion plans. Along with this, company is also likely to benefit from GST implementation.
9.EIL : TP – 300
EIL enjoys leadership positioning in Indian hydrocarbon consultancy business. It would benefit from recovery in capex cycle by various upstream/downstream companies over the next few years. EIL has also been diversifying business into other geographies which would add to revenue stream going ahead.
10 Geometric: TP – 146
The management has undertaken several restructuring initiatives to improve growth, bring in predictability as well as sustain margins. These initiatives are expected to lead to improved revenue growth over the next few quarters. The order booking over past four quarters and the strong pipe-line make us optimistic on future growth prospects.

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